VOLATILITY (indicative)

RANGE  GOLD*  SILVER*  NASDAQ100  DAX  COFFEE  SUGAR  COCOA  WTI OIL
30 MIN. 02.60 00.05 022 030 00.70 00.06 012 00.14
2 HRS. 05.70 00.13 041 050 01.00 00.12 029 00.50 
4 HRS 09.40 00.18 048 067 01.30 00.17 037 00.70
6 HRS 12.50 00.22 061 086 01.30 00.17 033 00.80
DAILY 22.00 00.50 136 179 02.60 00.33 074 01.80
WEEKLY 52.00 01.50 306 426 05.40 00.69 157 03.90

*Gold and Silver are updated as of Friday Aug. 6., 2021. Other 30 min rows are updated as of 02. Sep .2020 Intraday-price-moves for certain timeframes (showing 'volatility' or range expected). Ex: If @ 02:00 PM Gold has already moved USD 14 that day, then it's less likely to move much further that day. Within a 2 hour period for ex., expect USD 3 move for GOLD and so on. Always be happy to acheive gains equal to the specified time-range. The table is also useful for stop-loss distances.

CHARTS AND OR COMMENTS

Metals into week 36, 2021

Metals are stronger through week 35.

This graph above is equally weighted for Gold, Silver and Platinum, showing strength last week represented in a blue bar.

Gold vs Silver:

Gold continues to hold up better than Silver in the weekly perspective.

Nasdaq100 vs Gold:

 And the technology weighted Nasdaq100 index continues to outpace the price of Gold.


The Following week

Now as the Jackson Hole summit is past, what are markets doing?

A look at Nasadq100 and Gold over the last 20 years, shows that the technology weighted Nasdaq100 index has underperformed the price of Gold the next 5 tradingsessions.

Here is how Gold and Nasdaq100 index has performed every year the following the summit.

Gold (ave. + 0.1%) holds up better than Nasdaq100 (ave. - 0.7%). Last year, both fell 1.6 and 1.7%.

Different topics are discussed each year in Jackson Hole, and markets are contiously at different stages, but these are the true results no matter what.

Saturday Sept. 4th, 2021: This week above Gold + 0.5% and Nasdaq100 + 1.5%.


No end in sight...

The ratio for Platinum to Nasdaq100 shows little end in sight.

A renewed All-Time-Low yesterday at 0.064. As one red (blue) often leads to another red (blue), markets just have to await stronger signals, for this current prolonged downtrend to reverse. 

 


Jackson Hole 2021, Nasdaq100

Once a year since 1978, the US Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City has sponsored a 2 days symposium on an important economic issue facing the U.S. and world economies. This is hosted in late August in beautiful Jackson Hole, Wyoming. To learn more about the location of the annual symposium, watch Bloomberg TV's video External Link"Inside the Central Banking Hangouts of Jackson Hole."

Here is how markets behave through the meetings. Link to the meetings here.

Nasdaq100 vs Gold Jackson Hole

The developments of the Nasdaq100 index is here 'head to head' with the price of Gold. The graph show that Gold outperforms the Nasdaq100 index by alot. All toghether, over the last 20 years, Nasdaq100 shows + 1.8%, and Gold shows + 20.3%.

The duration for the period selected is from the start of the event to markets close 3 calendar days after the last day of the event. For 2021, this means entering the position today Thursday 26th of August and exiting the position this upcoming Tuesday the 31st. of August.

Remember that past performance is never any guarantee of how markets will behave in the future. Read Disclaimer below.


Platinum vs Nasdaq100 Wedn Aug. 25., 2021

The 0.070 was the last day of July. The 0.065 was last Thursday the 19th of August. Markets are at All-Time-Low levels and the Platinum Nasdaq100 ratio closed Tuesday at 0.066.


Monthly changes

Ever wondering how a particular asset is doing through a certain month?

There is now a monthly performance view for each and every month from 2001 - present in:

GoldSilverCoffeeSugarCocoaNasdaq100DAXBitcoinLumber and Platinum.

The monthly changes table is located below the indicators on the respective sites.

 


Nasdaq100 & Gold pre Mond. Aug. 23

Is the technology weighted Nasdaq100 index still better than Gold?

The weekly chart above shows the development of the Nasdaq100 index divided by the price of Gold.

As the graph signals, the index has outperformed Gold since May. This passed week gives a signal of that trend stalling. Is it time for a break or to head south? Gold looks to attempt to hold up better than Nasdaq100. Next week could quickly show if this is more true than false going forward when next week is giving the Blue or Red bar. The higher (lower) the numbers in the graph the more (less) OZ Gold needed in exchange for a contact of Nasdaq100.


Nasdaq100 vs Gold prices

The Nasdaq100 index continues to outperform the price of Gold.

This weekly chart above clearly demonstrates how Nasdaq100 has outperformed the Gold price development in 2021. Especially the last 10 weeks (since late May), the Nasdaq100 index has seen extreme performance. The higher the prices the more OZ Gold it takes to pay for one contract of the Nasdaq100 index.

 


Nasdaq100 pre Thurs 05. Aug

Nasdaq 100 index Daily chart below seen through a Heikin Ashi chart.

Technology stocks are still going strong. Entering Thursday's trading, the latest reference low point in the chart above is 14.971. Weakness could be found below that level.


Pre US opens Tuesd 03. Aug.

All sections are updated pre US openings for Tuesday 03. August 2021.

GoldSilverCoffeeSugarCocoaNasdaq100DAXBitcoinLumber and Platinum.


Nasdaq100 for Monday 02. Aug.

Pre-Monday's stock markets openings - here is the Nasdaq100 index on a week to week basis, and day to day basis. Both presented in Heikin Ashi terms. 

NASDAQ100 WEEKLY

There is no doubt the weekly chart is showing extreme strength. Until markets violate the 14.476 level, marked in the diagram, the medium term upside could still be intact. 

On a daily basis. The pattern is quite different. Let's have a look below.

 

NASDAQ100 DAILY

This Nasdaq100 chart is sited intraday by intraday. Friday closed a Red bar, which signals upcoming weakness (read the oposite in the pic for Blue). Now, the 'only' reference point seems to be 14.991 whcich is marked in Red. If the level is violated, there is a greater chance the upside will again resume. Until proven, indications are pointing lower for the index.


Markets Thursday July 29.

All sections are updated pre US openings for Thursday 29th of July 2021.

GoldSilverCoffeeSugarCocoaNasdaq100DAXBitcoinLumber and Platinum.


Nasdaq100 + 2.400 points in July

The Nasdaq100 index is about to show a positive return in July for the 13th time in a row! 

Summing up all 13 July's, gives you a whopping + 2.400 points. Investing purely through the month of July every year since 2009, would have profitted + 2.400 points return or + 160%. Wow.

Never in the history has there been such unbelievable statistics for an index. If you know about one, it will be great sharing to intraday at intraday.no 


Tuesday 27th of July.

All sections are updated pre US openings for Tuesday the 27th of July 2021.

GoldSilverCoffeeSugarCocoaNasdaq100DAXBitcoinLumber and Platinum.


Days to Yearly high

....Suprised "nobody" brings up this issue.

From the start of the year, how long does it take before a market makes its Year high level?

Looking into the last 20 years for both the Nasdaq100 index and the German DAX index, there are interesting findings. First of all, they most often bring in the Yearly high about the same time every year. If there are many days in between respective highs, it  is easily because of a consolidation for one of the indices having several high-points that very year.

Below you see the present state. Either markets turns down "now" from the now Year high's (marked with a red line), or next, lasts at least 55 more calendar days (Green line).

Walking through the fall without challenges for markets could quickly mean the Nasdaq100 and the DAX continues higher into "year end".

Calendardays To Yearly high'sThis is history so you never know about markets. Whatever you choose to do, make sure the preferred stop loss is in place. 


Friday the 16th of July

 

These are updated pre European openings for Friday the 16th:

GoldSilverNasdaq100DAX and Bitcoin.


Indices & Commodities Thurs 15th

All sections are updated pre US openings for Thursday the 15th.

GoldSilverCoffeeSugarCocoaNasdaq100DAX and Bitcoin.


Indices and Commodities Wedn 14th

All sections are updated pre US openings for Wednesday July 14th.

GoldSilverCoffeeSugarCocoaNasdaq100DAX and Bitcoin.


Monday July 5th 2021

All categories are updated under respective sections.


July 2nd - Dax, Nasdaq100, Gold and Silver..

Are all updated pre European opening bell Friday July 2nd.

Look under their sections above.



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