VOLATILITY (indicative)

RANGE  GOLD*  SILVER*  NASDAQ100  DAX  COFFEE  SUGAR  COCOA  WTI OIL
30 MIN. 02.60 00.05 022 030 00.70 00.06 012 00.14
2 HRS. 05.70 00.13 041 050 01.00 00.12 029 00.50 
4 HRS 09.40 00.18 048 067 01.30 00.17 037 00.70
6 HRS 12.50 00.22 061 086 01.30 00.17 033 00.80
DAILY 22.00 00.50 136 179 02.60 00.33 074 01.80
WEEKLY 52.00 01.50 306 426 05.40 00.69 157 03.90

*Gold and Silver are updated as of Friday Aug. 6., 2021. Other 30 min rows are updated as of 02. Sep .2020 Intraday-price-moves for certain timeframes (showing 'volatility' or range expected). Ex: If @ 02:00 PM Gold has already moved USD 14 that day, then it's less likely to move much further that day. Within a 2 hour period for ex., expect USD 3 move for GOLD and so on. Always be happy to acheive gains equal to the specified time-range. The table is also useful for stop-loss distances.

CHARTS AND OR COMMENTS

When is Low of the Year?

In the search for the Low-month of the year, here are the results:

Metals and index Low of the year

The table includes Silver, Gold, Platinum, DAX and Nasdaq100.

1 is January and 12 is December. 

2021: So far this year.


When is High of the Year?

In the search for the High-month of the year, here are the results:

High in metals and index

The table includes Silver, Gold, Platinum, DAX and Nasdaq100.

1 is January and 12 is December.

2021: So far this year.


Yearly high and lows

Throughout the year, how many days between yearly low and yearly high?

Here is an updated table of the duration between highs and lows and lows to highs in Calendardays. It does not tell when the highs and lows arrive, only duration between them. Updated 28.09.2021

Highs and Lows of the year 2001 - 2021

Over the last 20 years, the table shows that the average time between yearly high and yearly low is more than 200 calendardays (on average).

The last 10 years, the German DAX index and the US Nasdaq100 index have both reached its yearly high before its yearly low, every year but in 2018. Is there a change to this pattern in 2022 where the high of the year steps in first? 

This overview is a clear proof that trends lasts a while.


Monthly changes

Ever wondering how a particular asset is doing through a certain month?

There is now a monthly performance view for each and every month from 2001 - present in:

GoldSilverCoffeeSugarCocoaNasdaq100DAXBitcoinLumber and Platinum.

The monthly changes table is located below the indicators on the respective sites.

 


Pre US opens Tuesd 03. Aug.

All sections are updated pre US openings for Tuesday 03. August 2021.

GoldSilverCoffeeSugarCocoaNasdaq100DAXBitcoinLumber and Platinum.


Markets Thursday July 29.

All sections are updated pre US openings for Thursday 29th of July 2021.

GoldSilverCoffeeSugarCocoaNasdaq100DAXBitcoinLumber and Platinum.


Tuesday 27th of July.

All sections are updated pre US openings for Tuesday the 27th of July 2021.

GoldSilverCoffeeSugarCocoaNasdaq100DAXBitcoinLumber and Platinum.


Days to Yearly high

....Suprised "nobody" brings up this issue.

From the start of the year, how long does it take before a market makes its Year high level?

Looking into the last 20 years for both the Nasdaq100 index and the German DAX index, there are interesting findings. First of all, they most often bring in the Yearly high about the same time every year. If there are many days in between respective highs, it  is easily because of a consolidation for one of the indices having several high-points that very year.

Below you see the present state. Either markets turns down "now" from the now Year high's (marked with a red line), or next, lasts at least 55 more calendar days (Green line).

Walking through the fall without challenges for markets could quickly mean the Nasdaq100 and the DAX continues higher into "year end".

Calendardays To Yearly high'sThis is history so you never know about markets. Whatever you choose to do, make sure the preferred stop loss is in place. 


Friday the 16th of July

 

These are updated pre European openings for Friday the 16th:

GoldSilverNasdaq100DAX and Bitcoin.


Indices & Commodities Thurs 15th

All sections are updated pre US openings for Thursday the 15th.

GoldSilverCoffeeSugarCocoaNasdaq100DAX and Bitcoin.


Indices and Commodities Wedn 14th

All sections are updated pre US openings for Wednesday July 14th.

GoldSilverCoffeeSugarCocoaNasdaq100DAX and Bitcoin.


Monday July 5th 2021

All categories are updated under respective sections.


July 2nd - Dax, Nasdaq100, Gold and Silver..

Are all updated pre European opening bell Friday July 2nd.

Look under their sections above.


Mid day Monday 21st of June

Sugar, Cocoa, Nasdaq100 and DAX sections are updated as of now.


DAX INDEX DAY BY DAY (last 5 yrs)

Revealing the day to day numbers of the German DAX index.

The accumulated performance of each day from the last 5 years is shown in this table. 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020.

The table will give you the overview of how the index really did throughout the last years. This does not mean the same dates will do the excact same this year or next, but maybe it could give you an indication of what could be coming. At least, have it in the back of your mind. The very upcoming week (7. - 11. of June) has shown sluggish performance. Maybe its all different this year?

060621 - DAX INTRADAY PERFORMANCE 5 yrs

 


Gold, Silver, Nasdaq100 and DAX

Comments and charts are updated as of today 02. of May 2021 under Silver, Gold, Nasdaq100 and DAX.


The importance of time

Seldom you read or hear about how a certain intraday of the week could be more important to watch and trade than another.

Looking at this table below, you quickly see that some days are so called up-days and some days are down-days. Revealing the numbers behind the colors will probably shock you! There are extreme differences to the performance of certain intradays.

2019 DAILY

So far in 2019, if you are long the Nasdaq100 index going into Thursdays, you are most likely to see the index fall significantly through that day. The very same is true for metals, where Thursdays are clearly the worst performing day of the week for both the Gold and the Silver.

If you would like to see the actual numbers behind the Reds and the Blues, simply send an email to intraday@intraday.no and the answers will be received for free.

Happy trading week, and make sure to stay up to date by following intraday.se at Instragram with the address @intraday.se


DAX 4 HRS

The German DAX index is only half as strong as the tech-weighted Nasdaq100 index since X-mas. It is up 11.2% since the low of 27th of Dec at 10.400 (now 11.575).

Looking at this 4-hours chart below (one bar represents 4 hrs of trading), there is little weakness to spot for now. The first support below the Red line may be seen as the 15. Feb low at 11.013. Trading underneight that level should be seen as the first major sign of potential further market weakness to come.

050319 - DAX FUTURE 4 HRS 


Nasdaq100 & the markets

Nasdaq100 has managed to move + 15% since x-mas, but is still - 10% from the October 2018 All Time High.

Updating the present longer term chart and comparing it to how the DJIA and DAX performed in 1966 into 1967 and 1973 into 1974, - it seems that markets next fase is more likely to turn lower over the next 135 to 170 tradingdays.

090219 - nasdaq100 vs 1966-1967 and 1973-1974

The 4 Red Dots are marked by the respective periodical lows, and shows us that 'if these market-maps are guides', a first potential low for Nasdaq100 will be in about 135 tradingsessions (66-67 DJIA) from this Monday 11th of Feb.. Most similar to the present price action developing from the October 1st top, continues to be the 73-74 DJIA scenario - with a lowpoint about 147 tradingdays away, and - 30.5% lower than yesterday Friday close.

According to the market-map from 1973 - 1974, there should now be about 4-5 tradingdays  more before 143 trading-sessions of sliding..


DAX TURN OF THE MONTH

Research shows that the German DAX index now performs sluggish around the turn of the month.

By looking at how the index performs 'two tradingdays before through two tradingdays after' the change of a month, you see that markets favours to turn significantly lower within this short 4 day timeframe four out of the last five instances.

 

290119 - DAX OVER THE MONTH

Trading over August to September saw the index drop - 2.7%. The 4 intradays October to November brought the index + 2.6% higher, but all last 5 'turn of the month' cases shows negative development of totally - 4.4%.

The tradingperiod analysed equals a start tomorrow Wednesday to end Monday. Remeber that passed performance is history and by no means accurate of what will happen in the future. Even though, the research here is an interesting observation of the passed.



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