VOLATILITY (indicative)

RANGE  GOLD*  SILVER*  NASDAQ100  DAX  COFFEE  SUGAR  COCOA  WTI OIL
30 MIN. 02.60 00.05 022 030 00.70 00.06 012 00.14
2 HRS. 05.70 00.13 041 050 01.00 00.12 029 00.50 
4 HRS 09.40 00.18 048 067 01.30 00.17 037 00.70
6 HRS 12.50 00.22 061 086 01.30 00.17 033 00.80
DAILY 22.00 00.50 136 179 02.60 00.33 074 01.80
WEEKLY 52.00 01.50 306 426 05.40 00.69 157 03.90

*Gold and Silver are updated as of Friday Aug. 6., 2021. Other 30 min rows are updated as of 02. Sep .2020 Intraday-price-moves for certain timeframes (showing 'volatility' or range expected). Ex: If @ 02:00 PM Gold has already moved USD 14 that day, then it's less likely to move much further that day. Within a 2 hour period for ex., expect USD 3 move for GOLD and so on. Always be happy to acheive gains equal to the specified time-range. The table is also useful for stop-loss distances.

CHARTS AND OR COMMENTS

Metals for week 38, 2021

Precious Metals contine to trade lower giving Metal Bulls a prolonged headache. The latest seasonality trend did not work out for higher prices, and 2 weeks ago started a seasonal weaker period.

According to the weekly chart above where Gold, Silver and Platinum is equally weighted the overall trend continues sideways to south. Last week traded down through technical support levels for all 3.

As long as the bars are red, there is a weakening performance to the developments going forward. The very last bar shows a lower high and a lower low and thereby no sign of pushing higher (for now).


Gold outperforming Silver?

Gold continues to hold up better than Silver.  See the weekly chart below as presented by Gold divided by Silver. And the higher it goes the more Silver is needed to convert it into that very 1 OZ Gold.

According to the weekly price pattern for OZ Gold into OZ Silver, the trend keeps its upward momentum favoring the yellow metal for now. The clear blue bars will distroy the uptrend if markets see the ratio below the 74-level.

More: An historical guide to the Gold-Silver Ratio, by JB Maverick at Investopedia here.


Metals into week 36, 2021

Metals are stronger through week 35.

This graph above is equally weighted for Gold, Silver and Platinum, showing strength last week represented in a blue bar.

Gold vs Silver:

Gold continues to hold up better than Silver in the weekly perspective.

Nasdaq100 vs Gold:

 And the technology weighted Nasdaq100 index continues to outpace the price of Gold.


The Following week

Now as the Jackson Hole summit is past, what are markets doing?

A look at Nasadq100 and Gold over the last 20 years, shows that the technology weighted Nasdaq100 index has underperformed the price of Gold the next 5 tradingsessions.

Here is how Gold and Nasdaq100 index has performed every year the following the summit.

Gold (ave. + 0.1%) holds up better than Nasdaq100 (ave. - 0.7%). Last year, both fell 1.6 and 1.7%.

Different topics are discussed each year in Jackson Hole, and markets are contiously at different stages, but these are the true results no matter what.

Saturday Sept. 4th, 2021: This week above Gold + 0.5% and Nasdaq100 + 1.5%.


Gold Silver ratio pre Monday 30th Aug., 2021

Gold continues to hold up better than Silver.

The weekly low is USD 1.2 higher at the end of week 34 compared to week 33.


Jackson Hole 2021, Gold & Silver

Gold could outperform Nasdaq100 over the Jackson Hole event (see last post below).

But, what about Silver up against Gold?

Silver actually outperforms and holds up better than Gold through the latest 20 Jackson Hole Summits.

The chart above shows how Gold and Silver prices performs from the 1. speach day (this year tomorrow Friday 27th of Aug. to the 6. day post the Summit (this year to next Friday the 3rd. of September. The average development for Gold through this period is + 0.8%, and for Silver + 1.9%. Making this exact trade the last 20 years has accumulated + 15% for Gold, and + 38% for Silver !

Read Disclaimer down below before attempting to make the very same trades. History do not exactly repeat even though it could be a guide.

Saturday Sept. 4th, 2021: This week above Gold + 0.5% and Silver + 2.5%.


Jackson Hole 2021, Nasdaq100

Once a year since 1978, the US Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City has sponsored a 2 days symposium on an important economic issue facing the U.S. and world economies. This is hosted in late August in beautiful Jackson Hole, Wyoming. To learn more about the location of the annual symposium, watch Bloomberg TV's video External Link"Inside the Central Banking Hangouts of Jackson Hole."

Here is how markets behave through the meetings. Link to the meetings here.

Nasdaq100 vs Gold Jackson Hole

The developments of the Nasdaq100 index is here 'head to head' with the price of Gold. The graph show that Gold outperforms the Nasdaq100 index by alot. All toghether, over the last 20 years, Nasdaq100 shows + 1.8%, and Gold shows + 20.3%.

The duration for the period selected is from the start of the event to markets close 3 calendar days after the last day of the event. For 2021, this means entering the position today Thursday 26th of August and exiting the position this upcoming Tuesday the 31st. of August.

Remember that past performance is never any guarantee of how markets will behave in the future. Read Disclaimer below.


Monthly changes

Ever wondering how a particular asset is doing through a certain month?

There is now a monthly performance view for each and every month from 2001 - present in:

GoldSilverCoffeeSugarCocoaNasdaq100DAXBitcoinLumber and Platinum.

The monthly changes table is located below the indicators on the respective sites.

 


Metals pre Mond. Aug. 23

Gold, Silver and Platinum are presented in this weekly chart below.

As pointed out in the development for the metals, there is no strengthening signs going into next week. The general price trend for metals are still down rather than up. In this graph Gold, Silver and Platinum are weighted equally, and the view is derived into an Hekin Ashi chart from underlying weekly metals prices.


Nasdaq100 & Gold pre Mond. Aug. 23

Is the technology weighted Nasdaq100 index still better than Gold?

The weekly chart above shows the development of the Nasdaq100 index divided by the price of Gold.

As the graph signals, the index has outperformed Gold since May. This passed week gives a signal of that trend stalling. Is it time for a break or to head south? Gold looks to attempt to hold up better than Nasdaq100. Next week could quickly show if this is more true than false going forward when next week is giving the Blue or Red bar. The higher (lower) the numbers in the graph the more (less) OZ Gold needed in exchange for a contact of Nasdaq100.


Gold Silver pre Monday 23rd of Aug.

Gold continues to outperform Silver. See chart below.

This is the weekly Heikin Ashi chart derived from the weekly price development of Gold divided by Silver. The more the numbers creeping up, the more silver it takes to get ahold of 1 OZ Gold. Until markets do see a Red bar, Gold is favoured over Silver. 

 


Nasdaq100 vs Gold prices

The Nasdaq100 index continues to outperform the price of Gold.

This weekly chart above clearly demonstrates how Nasdaq100 has outperformed the Gold price development in 2021. Especially the last 10 weeks (since late May), the Nasdaq100 index has seen extreme performance. The higher the prices the more OZ Gold it takes to pay for one contract of the Nasdaq100 index.

 


Metals Wedn. 18th Aug.

Metals (Gold, Silver and Platinum eaqually weighted) continues to be a dog here. No strength in sight so far.

This chart above proves that in the weekly Heikin Ashi chart. It is certainly moving down not up (for the moment).

Chart is through week 32 ending Friday the 13th.


Gold to Silver Wedn. 18th Aug.

Gold continues to outperform Silver.

The higher this goes the more silver you need to have to get ahold of every OZ Gold.

 


Gold pre Monday Aug. 09.

After holding above the USD 1.800 throghout the week, Gold took a beating Friday to be sold down USD 40 below. The week ended - 3% and trading against the present seasonal trend.

Weakness often leads to more weakness. In a weekly perspective, the Goldprice is now under pressure (see chart above) until markets go back to challenge the USD 1.830 from last week's high.


Pre US opens Tuesd 03. Aug.

All sections are updated pre US openings for Tuesday 03. August 2021.

GoldSilverCoffeeSugarCocoaNasdaq100DAXBitcoinLumber and Platinum.


Precious Metals combined

To get an overview of the precious metal prices in general, here you got a weekly chart of Gold, Silver and Platinum combined weighting 1/3 of each component.

On a weekly basis, there is p.t. no indication that prices are to creep upwards yet. As far as this chart shows, it seems like lower- or at best sideways pricing, prevales for now.


Metals for Monday Aug. 02.

Below are the weekly charts for Silver, Gold, and Platinum updated pre this upcoming week starting Monday August 02.

Weekly overviews are good because it gives a broader perspective for the price trends than the day to day movements. Included in this post is also the weekly Gold to Silver Ratio, the Platinum to Gold ratio, and the Platinum to Silver ratio. This shows wider relationships and comparisons.

 

SILVER WEEKLY CHART

Silver made a lower low and a lower high last week. Bars are still red, and no indication of turning higher in this week to week picture.

 

GOLD WEEKLY CHART

Gold is trading sideways as for the visual view above. The chart shows last week with a slightly higher high and higher low, but without a 'clear' picture of where it is heading next. The chart could favour the upside but it is easy to be tricked as it is basically sideways for the last 4 weeks (not trending up or down). A break could happen either way. A hint is to stay patient until there is a direction.

 

PLATINUM WEEKLY CHART

Platinum shows a higher high and a lower low in this weekly chart above. According to the chart, there is no indication Platinum prices are moving higher on the weekly basis. Red bars means weak developments. So, as for next week markets will look out for the vulnerable 1.030 level which has been a base level to investors over the last 7 weeks. Experience shows that if this level is breached, be aware of a potential 'fake' break where prices bounces back. But for now, there seems to be no hurry for higher prices.

 

GOLD TO SILVER RATIO WEEKLY.

The chart shows how many OZ Silver you receive in exchange for 1 OZ Gold.

Gold prices are favoured over Silver, as the ratio is moving higher. On a weekly time frame the chart above shows a higher high and a higher low. There is a more clear picture of what is going in the ratio in the pic above, compared to the one layed out last week; In the pic above, each bar is formualted directly from their respective underlying already derived gold and silver prices.

 

PLATINUM TO GOLD RATIO WEEKLY

The chart shows how many OZ Gold you get in exchange for 1 OZ Platinum.

Until this past week, Platinum has acted much weaker relative to Gold since mid May. Markes needs to see the exchange between the tow above 0.62 in order to see Platinum starting to outperform Gold.

 

PLATINUM TO SILVER RATIO WEEKLY

The chart shows how many OZ Silver you take in exchange for 1 OZ platinum.

There has been very little movement for the exchange relationship between Platinum and Silver over the last 5 weeks. On a weekly basis the trend looks somewhat weak rather than strong. Last week printed a red bar. In order to move higher, markets could watch the 42.5 level for now.


Markets Thursday July 29.

All sections are updated pre US openings for Thursday 29th of July 2021.

GoldSilverCoffeeSugarCocoaNasdaq100DAXBitcoinLumber and Platinum.


Tuesday 27th of July.

All sections are updated pre US openings for Tuesday the 27th of July 2021.

GoldSilverCoffeeSugarCocoaNasdaq100DAXBitcoinLumber and Platinum.



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