CHARTS AND COMMENTS

Stockmarkets in June

Here is the monthly chart combining the DAX and the Nasdaq100 indices.

There are now 5 months of lower highs on a monthly scale. YTD, the two indices are collectively - 16%.

The latest May bar is Red and still indicating weakness. As long as there is a lower low and a lower high on a monthly scale, weakness is prevailing for the longer term. From June 1st close, there is more than + 4% to the latest bar top. Only getting above this point could revalue current bearish stand.


NASDAQ100 & DAX INTO WEEK 17.

Continuing the Nasdaq100+DAX story. The weekly chart for the combined markets is shown below.

As there again is a lower low and a lower high in the weekly chart, markets are showing continued weakness (and no strength) going forward.

Latest In depth on Nasdaq100 index.

Latest in depth on DAX index


Nasadaq100 and Dax into week 16.

Below, you find Nasdaq100 and DAX set toghether.

As pointed out last week, if this week was weak the resumption of the downtrend could find its way lower.

The chart is now showing a lower low and a lower high, indicating weakness for markets. Only a 5% gain could possibly jeoperdize the downtrend from the first week of January.

Latest In depth on Nasdaq100 index.

Latest in depth on DAX index


NASDAQ100 & DAX INTO WEEK 15.

STAY ALERT!

The weekly chart below,

shows the American Nasdaq100 index and the European DAX index put togheter in one graph.

The lastest weekly bar is showing a lower high and an equally lowpoint from the week before.

Upcoming weakness could prove current upswing in markets to be "fake", for then to see the longer term downtrend from beginning of January to resume. 

In depth Nasdaq100 index.

In depth DAX index


Nasdaq100 and DAX into April

The monthly chart below is showing the American Nasdaq100 and the European DAX indices. Both indices are equally weighted into the graph. It should represent where stockmarkets are currently trading.

The monthly pattern continue to create a lower low and a lower high. The Red bars indicate that markets are weak. For the chart to regain Blue strength stockmarkets need to collectively soar as much as 9% from their March closings. 


NASDAQ100 AND DAX WEEK 8

The American Nasdaq100 index and the European DAX index are put toghether into this one graph to show the stockmarkets trend.

There is no doubt the current trend is weak. The markets in conjunction are -15.4% since its high in the beginning of Jaunary. It will continue to be so until markets see a blue bar in sight. In order to see this we must see markets soar as much as 5% from current levels. If there is a rebound into Blue territory, lets's reassess the next phase.


SEASONALITY FOR DAX AND NASDAQ100

The European DAX index, and the technology weighted Nasdaq100 index, do show common periods of strength and weakness throughout the year.

The picture below shows the common strong and weak periods for the two markets. Left side is January 1., and right side is December 31. The horizontal line is the timeline for 2022, and shows where markets are at right now. The strong and weak time periods range from 11 to 43 calendar days before changing course.

The Blue fields show both markets have a tendancy to stay strong, the Pink fields show both markets have a tendancy to stay weak.

Horizontal Green line is updated after this article ( as of Sunday March 6th. 2022 ).

According to seasonality, both markets are now trading in a common weak phase since January 26. (Dax at 15.450 and Nasdaq100 at 14.160). The present weak period could last until March 23. for now (36 more Calendar days).

The model is Pink if DAX and or Nasdaq100 is weak, and Blue if both the DAX and the Nasdaq100 are strong.

Always do your own research before entering into any market positions. 


NASDAQ100 AND DAX WEEK 7

So where are the stockmarkets at in Mid February of 2022?

For Europe, most investors look at the DAX index as a proxy for the market. In the USA and all over the world for that matter, the Nasdaq100 is a popular index. Putting both of them together into one graph is interesting because it could tell you more about the stockmarkets temperature in general.

At 14.600, the Nasdaq100 is -10.5% and at 15.400 the DAX -2.5% YTD. Putting them toghether, they now see weakness over the last 5 weeks.

On a weekly scale Nasdaq100 and the DAX see a lower low and a lower high. This favours lower prices to come. Bias to the upside would see higher highs and higher lows.

Until the indices are able to climb into creating a Blue bar, weakness will continue.

For updates on the indices and seasonality, see Nasdaq100 and DAX.


DAX VS NASDAQ100

A smaller clue going into 2022 for the two major indices DAX and Nasdaq100:

This chart compares the European DAX index to the American Nasdaq100 index.

The vertical Blue and Pink fields represent the historical common seasonal strong (weak) periods. Both indices are presently in a strong (Light blue)  phase from October 30th until the last couple of days of the year.

Nasdaq100 is sited in a Blue line if it has strong seasonality, and Red if it has weak seasonality.

DAX is sited in a Green line if it has strong seasonality, and Red if it has weak seasonality.

Heading into the new year, maybe it's worthwhile to only stay positioned according to both parties having their common seasonal strong (weak) periods.

#nasdaq100in2022 #daxin2022


When is Low of the Year?

In the search for the Low-month of the year, here are the results:

Metals and index Low of the year

The table includes Silver, Gold, Platinum, DAX and Nasdaq100.

1 is January and 12 is December. 

2021: So far this year.



RSS

I N T R A D A Y . S E

IMG_4240

TO

INTRADAY.SE

instagram

 

SOFT COMMODITIES

What would you trade? (i)




PRECIOUS METALS

What would you trade? (ii)



HOLDING PERIOD

You hold positions for?







TRADING

You mostly trade?




MACRO ECON

You prefer to watch?



GOLD INTRADAY XAU

SILVER INTRADAY XAG

GOLD SILVER RATIO

NASDAQ 100 INTRADAY

DAX INTRADAY

COFFEE ONE YEAR