CHARTS AND COMMENTS

DAX VS NASDAQ100

A smaller clue going into 2022 for the two major indices DAX and Nasdaq100:

This chart compares the European DAX index to the American Nasdaq100 index.

The vertical Blue and Pink fields represent the historical common seasonal strong (weak) periods. Both indices are presently in a strong (Light blue)  phase from October 30th until the last couple of days of the year.

Nasdaq100 is sited in a Blue line if it has strong seasonality, and Red if it has weak seasonality.

DAX is sited in a Green line if it has strong seasonality, and Red if it has weak seasonality.

Heading into the new year, maybe it's worthwhile to only stay positioned according to both parties having their common seasonal strong (weak) periods.

#nasdaq100in2022 #daxin2022


When is Low of the Year?

In the search for the Low-month of the year, here are the results:

Metals and index Low of the year

The table includes Silver, Gold, Platinum, DAX and Nasdaq100.

1 is January and 12 is December. 

2021: So far this year.


When is High of the Year?

In the search for the High-month of the year, here are the results:

High in metals and index

The table includes Silver, Gold, Platinum, DAX and Nasdaq100.

1 is January and 12 is December.

2021: So far this year.


Yearly high and lows

Throughout the year, how many days between yearly low and yearly high?

Here is an updated table of the duration between highs and lows and lows to highs in Calendardays. It does not tell when the highs and lows arrive, only duration between them. Updated 28.09.2021

Highs and Lows of the year 2001 - 2021

Over the last 20 years, the table shows that the average time between yearly high and yearly low is more than 200 calendardays (on average).

The last 10 years, the German DAX index and the US Nasdaq100 index have both reached its yearly high before its yearly low, every year but in 2018. Is there a change to this pattern in 2022 where the high of the year steps in first? 

This overview is a clear proof that trends lasts a while.


Metals into week 36, 2021

Metals are stronger through week 35.

This graph above is equally weighted for Gold, Silver and Platinum, showing strength last week represented in a blue bar.

Gold vs Silver:

Gold continues to hold up better than Silver in the weekly perspective.

Nasdaq100 vs Gold:

 And the technology weighted Nasdaq100 index continues to outpace the price of Gold.


The Following week

Now as the Jackson Hole summit is past, what are markets doing?

A look at Nasadq100 and Gold over the last 20 years, shows that the technology weighted Nasdaq100 index has underperformed the price of Gold the next 5 tradingsessions.

Here is how Gold and Nasdaq100 index has performed every year the following the summit.

Gold (ave. + 0.1%) holds up better than Nasdaq100 (ave. - 0.7%). Last year, both fell 1.6 and 1.7%.

Different topics are discussed each year in Jackson Hole, and markets are contiously at different stages, but these are the true results no matter what.

Saturday Sept. 4th, 2021: This week above Gold + 0.5% and Nasdaq100 + 1.5%.


No end in sight...

The ratio for Platinum to Nasdaq100 shows little end in sight.

A renewed All-Time-Low yesterday at 0.064. As one red (blue) often leads to another red (blue), markets just have to await stronger signals, for this current prolonged downtrend to reverse. 

 


Jackson Hole 2021, Nasdaq100

Once a year since 1978, the US Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City has sponsored a 2 days symposium on an important economic issue facing the U.S. and world economies. This is hosted in late August in beautiful Jackson Hole, Wyoming. To learn more about the location of the annual symposium, watch Bloomberg TV's video External Link"Inside the Central Banking Hangouts of Jackson Hole."

Here is how markets behave through the meetings. Link to the meetings here.

Nasdaq100 vs Gold Jackson Hole

The developments of the Nasdaq100 index is here 'head to head' with the price of Gold. The graph show that Gold outperforms the Nasdaq100 index by alot. All toghether, over the last 20 years, Nasdaq100 shows + 1.8%, and Gold shows + 20.3%.

The duration for the period selected is from the start of the event to markets close 3 calendar days after the last day of the event. For 2021, this means entering the position today Thursday 26th of August and exiting the position this upcoming Tuesday the 31st. of August.

Remember that past performance is never any guarantee of how markets will behave in the future. Read Disclaimer below.


Platinum vs Nasdaq100 Wedn Aug. 25., 2021

The 0.070 was the last day of July. The 0.065 was last Thursday the 19th of August. Markets are at All-Time-Low levels and the Platinum Nasdaq100 ratio closed Tuesday at 0.066.


Monthly changes

Ever wondering how a particular asset is doing through a certain month?

There is now a monthly performance view for each and every month from 2001 - present in:

GoldSilverCoffeeSugarCocoaNasdaq100DAXBitcoinLumber and Platinum.

The monthly changes table is located below the indicators on the respective sites.

 



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