CHARTS AND COMMENTS

NASDAQ100 AND DAX WEEK 8

The American Nasdaq100 index and the European DAX index are put toghether into this one graph to show the stockmarkets trend.

There is no doubt the current trend is weak. The markets in conjunction are -15.4% since its high in the beginning of Jaunary. It will continue to be so until markets see a blue bar in sight. In order to see this we must see markets soar as much as 5% from current levels. If there is a rebound into Blue territory, lets's reassess the next phase.


Metals markets - 5

Gold, Silver and Platinum have been quite strong the last 5 weeks.

The weekly chart above is showing strength for the precious metals over the last 5 weeks, but we could also say the last 9 weeks. Seasonality points to a turn down in week number 8 (to last about a month), so do not be suprised if metals stalls and take a breather for some time. Technical indicators do also favour a pause and you never know.

Technical indicators may at times stay in overbought and oversold conditions for much longer than you could imagine. As long as the weekly bars are Blue, markets perfer to buy up the metals.

The chart above is formulated into a diagram equally weighted for Gold, Silver and Platinum to more easily visualize what's going on. Read Disclaimer.


SEASONALITY FOR DAX AND NASDAQ100

The European DAX index, and the technology weighted Nasdaq100 index, do show common periods of strength and weakness throughout the year.

The picture below shows the common strong and weak periods for the two markets. Left side is January 1., and right side is December 31. The horizontal line is the timeline for 2022, and shows where markets are at right now. The strong and weak time periods range from 11 to 43 calendar days before changing course.

The Blue fields show both markets have a tendancy to stay strong, the Pink fields show both markets have a tendancy to stay weak.

Horizontal Green line is updated after this article ( as of Sunday March 6th. 2022 ).

According to seasonality, both markets are now trading in a common weak phase since January 26. (Dax at 15.450 and Nasdaq100 at 14.160). The present weak period could last until March 23. for now (36 more Calendar days).

The model is Pink if DAX and or Nasdaq100 is weak, and Blue if both the DAX and the Nasdaq100 are strong.

Always do your own research before entering into any market positions. 


NASDAQ100 AND DAX WEEK 7

So where are the stockmarkets at in Mid February of 2022?

For Europe, most investors look at the DAX index as a proxy for the market. In the USA and all over the world for that matter, the Nasdaq100 is a popular index. Putting both of them together into one graph is interesting because it could tell you more about the stockmarkets temperature in general.

At 14.600, the Nasdaq100 is -10.5% and at 15.400 the DAX -2.5% YTD. Putting them toghether, they now see weakness over the last 5 weeks.

On a weekly scale Nasdaq100 and the DAX see a lower low and a lower high. This favours lower prices to come. Bias to the upside would see higher highs and higher lows.

Until the indices are able to climb into creating a Blue bar, weakness will continue.

For updates on the indices and seasonality, see Nasdaq100 and DAX.


COFFEE, SUGAR AND COCOA WEEK 7

Half way into week 7 of 2022, here is how the Soft commodities of Coffee, Sugar and Cocoa are developing.

One bar equals one week of trading activity. The overview shows the graph equally weighted between Coffee, Sugar and Cocoa. Since mid November last year, they are collectively + 13.5%.

The chart shows higher highs and higher lows on the weeky scale, indicating strength rather than weakness. The Softs are now trading at the level seen in February of 2020. Until markets see a Red bar on the weekly scale, the uptrend prevails.

For more updates and seasonality behaviour, see Coffee, Sugar, and Cocoa.

#coffee #sugar #cocoa #coffeeprices #sugarprices #cocoaprices #tradingcoffee #tradingsugar #tradingcocoa #coffeeseasonality #sugarseasonality #cocoaseasonality

 


Gold Silver and Platinum in Feb. 2022

Gold, Silver and Platinum are collectivly higher going into February. The chart below gives you the overview of how they are performing all toghether on a monthly scale. Each bar represent one month of trading activity.

The latest monthly bar is coloured in Blue, signalling strength rather than weakness. With its higher high and higher low for January, there is potentially more strength to come in February. This trend would be supported by the traditional seasonality. See the sections of Gold or Silver or Platinum for specifications.

I N T R A D A Y . S E

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