Research shows that the Goldprice tends to trade higher through the last two days of the month into the first two days of the next month. This 4-days trading period sees higher Gold in 4 out of the last 6 'turn of the month' cases.

Summing all last six four days periods makes up + 1.3%.

Remeber that what happened in the passed is not equal to what will happen in the future... but these are interesting observations in conjuction to what really happens when a trading month comes to an end, to start another.

2019-01-29 12:39 | Gold

Research shows that the German DAX index now performs sluggish around the turn of the month.

By looking at how the index performs 'two tradingdays before through two tradingdays after' the change of a month, you see that markets favours to turn significantly lower within this short 4 day timeframe four out of the last five instances.

Trading over August to September saw the index drop - 2.7%. The 4 intradays October to November brought the index + 2.6% higher, but all last 5 'turn of the month' cases shows negative development of totally - 4.4%.

The tradingperiod analysed equals a start tomorrow Wednesday to end Monday. Remeber that passed performance is history and by no means accurate of what will happen in the future. Even though, the research here is an interesting observation of the passed.

2019-01-29 11:06 | Dax

Time to get back to earth. The Nasdaq100 index is now up 15.5% since x-mas (see daily chart below). This means the index has retraced back 50% of the 60 tradingdays downturn from October 1st at 7.700 peak to the December 26th low, in just 16 tradingdays.

The last 4 weeks shows higher weekly lows, and higher weekly highs. A healthy sign of real strength. Tomorrow is Friday, the last tradingday of this week. Friday is traditionally a weaker tradingday for this index. Any pullback below todays low @ 6.614 is the first signal lower prices potetially to come. Only time will show further direction. Remember to always keep a preferred stop loss in place to limit your downside. 

2019-01-17 22:45 | Nasdaq100

Silver has now traded strongly since December 26th, when it broke up through USD 14.90 resistance.

Totally, the upturn has lasted 44 tradingdays and + 10.40% since it found the 13.90 level low on November 14th. This proved to be a retest of the September 11th low, and thereby forming a double bottom.

Going forward, the industrial metal needs to trade outside its current 8 days long tight trading-range...and follow through to determine next course.

As for the remainer of the week, Thursdays and Friday historically shows to be strong intradays. Time will show, and always remember stop loss wherever preferred.

2019-01-16 23:13 | Silver

Looking at history, reseach shows that stockmarkets could be far away from their end to current downturn. It seems that the October 01st 2018 top was spot on for now.

The graph below gives you the perspective. In February of 1966 the DJIA and DAX started trending down to bottom around the new year of 1967. In late October of 1973 DJIA and the DAX indices started the downturns ending in October of 1974.

Putting these downtrends into perspective, there are now between 154 and 189 intradays to go from present levels until markets could see their low points. These are marked with RED dots in the chart below.

By continuing to follow the DJIA path for 1973 into 1974, markets should not rule out prices - 30% lower than present levels this October of 2019 for thereby to be retested in December.  

2019-01-14 10:31 | Nasdaq100, Dax, DJIA

Its moving up, its moving down, but how much is it actually moving within a certain timeframe?

Trading ranges are important because they tell you how much your trade or investment may move within a certain timeframe. Many traders use trading ranges as an effecient parameter to place stop loss - and take profit orders.

The table above shows how much Euro to USD, Gold- and Silver prices, the Dax index, Platinum, the Nasdaq100 index, Sugar-, Coffee-, Cocoa-, and Oil prices and Bitcoin moves within set timeframes. The currency pair Euro to USD, Gold- and Silver prices moves the least, as Sugar, Coffee, Cocoa, Oilprices and Bitcoin makes the most and solid price moves.

The table shows the average trading range of the last 1.000 bars for its timewindow.'1 DAY and 1 WEEK' shows the daily and weekly trading ranges for 2018.

30 MIN more than 0.5%: Sugar, Coffee, Cocoa, WTI Oil and Bitcoin.

2 HRS more than 1%: Coffee, Cocoa, WTI Oil and Bitcoin.

4 HRS more than 1.5%: Cocoa and Bitcoin.

6 HRS more than 2%: Bitcoin.

1 DAY more than 2%: Nasdaq100 index, Sugar, Coffee, Cocoa, WTI Oil and Bitcoin.

1 WEEK more than 5%: Sugar, Coffee, Cocoa, WTI Oil and Bitcoin.

2019-01-03 15:01 | Bitcoin, Cocoa, Coffee, Dax, EURUSD, Gold, Nasdaq100, Platinum, Silver, Sugar, Timeframes, WTI OIL