COFFEE LATEST

COFFEE INTRADAY

MONDAY 17. OCT

Month Start
Jan 226
Feb 237
Mar 236
Apr 228
May 222
June 239
July 225
Aug 213
Sep 235

 

Coffee Market Report (link)

Spot and nearby Coffee contracts, and Futures contracts explained.

COFFEE SEASONALITY CHART

The Coffee seasonality chart compares this year to earlier years. Red signal market in a weaker seasonal period. Blue signal market in a stronger seasonal period.

COFFEE PRICES IN 2022 UPDATED 17. OCT
Seasonality - 21.8%
Coffee Futures - 13.5 %
Current Seasonality STRONG TO 28. NOV

Read Disclaimer below.

COFFEE PRICE DEVELOPMENT

Daily closings of Coffee prices through the lens of strength and weakness.

COFFEE THIS YEAR VS LAST YEAR

Coffee prices for the current year vs last year.

COFFEE THIS YEAR VS 2 YEARS AGO

Coffee prices for the current year vs 2 years ago.

COFFEE THIS YEAR VS 3 YEARS AGO

Coffee prices for the current year vs 3 years ago.

COFFEE CHANGES

COFFEE MACD AND RSI

These are daily indicators only. There is no directly Coffee price action in this chart above. What you see are formulated MACD and RSI levels to signal strength / weakness from Coffee prices. Updated at close Oct. 17th. 2022.

COFFEE WEEKLY ( Longer perspective )

Average weekly trading range in 2022 as of after week 42: 16 points.

Each bar is derived from one week of trading activity. 

 

After week 42, Coffee prices are making a lower high and a lower low indicating continued weakness for the medium term.

After week 41, there is a lower high and a lower low on a weekly scale indicating weakness in the medium term. Trading above 221 could indicate a break to the current downward pressure.

After week 40, Coffee is making a lower low and lower high in the weekly chart. Indicating weakness rather than strength. After a prolonged consolidation markets are awaiting a more clear direction. Under 214 or above 227 could determine the new format.

After week 34, Coffee prices are substantially higher over the last week ( + 10.5% ), marked by a higher high. Prices are generally pushinger higher rather than lower on a weekly scale.

After week 24, Coffeeprices are making a lower high and a lower low on a weekly scale, indicating weakness. Trading above 233 could change the weaker readings.

After week 20, there is a higher high and a higher low on a weekly scale indicating more strength than weakness.

After week 18, another lower low and a lower high on the weekly scale indicating further weakness for coffee prices. 

After week 16, there is a lower low (218) and a lower high (230) on a weekly scale. This comes after an outside Blue bar. Current state is signalling weakness rather than strength going forward.

After week 14, there is a higher high and a higher low to the weekly scale. This is indicating strenght rather than weakness. Be aware of action below 224 that could trigger renewed weakness to the chart.

After week 11, Coffee prices are down on a weekly scale shown through the weekly lower low and lower high in line with weak seasonality.

After week 10, another weak week for Coffee prices. The weekly chart is showing a lower low and a lower high indicating weakness rather than strength.

After week 09, there is a lower low and a lower high on a weekly scale, just like week 08. Weakness prevails for now.

After week 07, Coffee shows a higher low but an inside Blue bar. For now there is more strength than weakness and that is in line with seasonality.

After week 06, Coffee prices are looking to break out (to the upside) of its 10% volatility range and building a higher high and a higher low.

After week 05, Coffee prices continue to creep up. A new higher high and a higher low is presented in the weekly chart. To keep it up, 234 should hold.

After week 04, Coffee prices are trading in a narrow range (basically last 9 weeks), making a marginally lower low and a lower high on a weekly scale. Current seasonality period is weak. See chart at the top of the page.

Partners or associates to intraday.se do at times own positions in physical Coffee or Coffee futures. Read Disclaimer below.

COFFEE PRICES MONTHLY ( LOOONGER PERSPECTIVE )

Monthly tradingrange for Coffee prices:

JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP      
24 28 29 24 32 25 41  37  26      

 

Each bar is derived from one month of trading activity. Scroll down to the Quarterly chart after this.

After Sept., Coffee is trading sideways awaiting direction. The inside bar proves the lower volatility and awaiting the upcoming spike in either direction.

After Aug., Coffee markets are showing a higher high and higher low on a monthly scale signalling renewed stength to prices going forward.

After July, there is now a lower high and a lower low in the monthly chart signalling weakness. Only trades above 236 could see strength again.

After June, Coffee prices are making a higher high with a higher low on a monthly scale singnalling higher prices to come. 

After May, Coffee prices are + 4% from April, but making a lower low and a lower high. The monthly downtrend is intact until markets see stabilized trading above 234.

After April 2022, there is an inside RED bar. There is a lower high (238) for the month, and a higher low (214) for the month. The coulor of the bar signals weakness rather than strength, just like the current Seasonality period.

After March 2022, Coffee prices are having a break after a prolonged rally. On a monthly scale there is a lower low and a lower high indicating weakness for now.

After February 2022, Coffee markets are continuing to stay strong indicated by the higher high and higher low. Trades below 226 could indicate weakness.

After January 2022, Coffee prices are continuing to make a (Blue) higher low in the monthly chart. This is still a positive, but seasonality weakness from late of February could turn the coffee markets sour for a while. As for now, there is no evidence.

COFFEE MONTHLY PRICE CHANGES

COFFEE MONTHLY PRICE CHANGES 2001 - 2021

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COFFEE PRICES QUARTERLY

Coffee quarterly developments. Q3 2022 ranged 48 points low to high or high to low. This may differ from the look of the formulated chart below.

This chart shows the development of Coffee prices per quarter, where each bar counts as one quarter (3 mnths) of trading activity. Q1 = Jan - Mar,  Q2 = Apr - Jun, Q3 = Jul - Sep, Q4 = Oct - Dec.

Q3 2022, Coffee markets are seeing an outside bar that could act in both directions going forward. The "rule" is stating to continue prior direction after an unclear sideways move. 

Q2 2022, prices are making a Blue inside bar consolidating the latest uptrend. As of now, there is strength at a higher rather than a lower level.

Q1 2022, again Coffee prices do see a higher high and a higher low on a quarterly scale. This is indicating that markets could meet higher coffee prices to come.

COFFEE PRICES YEAR BY YEAR

Coffee yearly chart of Coffee prices, every year since 1973.

In 2021, Coffee prices ranged 112% from year low to year high. The chart above is created as an Heikin Ashi chart, thereby given different outcomes of highs and lows than a normal bar chart because of its formula.

The strongest message from this chart (even though Coffee prices are 'more' choppy and spiky) is the importantance of a bar's higher high and higher low (lower low and lower high) which is indicating further development.

COFFEE AT INSTAGRAM

IMG_4240

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COFFEE WEIGHT VS PRICE

Coffee (beans) Futures are measured in Pounds per USD.

1 Pound (LB) equals 0.45 Kilo (KG). Coffee Beans are sold from the farms in 60 KG sized jute bags.

One jute bag = 132.3 LB of Coffee beans. At USD 2.45 per LB it equals the cost of USD 324.13 per 60 kg jute bag.

1 LB equals 0.4536 KG or 453.6 grams.

250 grams of coffee at some store = 0.5511 LB

If 1 LB of coffee costs $ 2.45, then 0.55 LB of Coffee costs $ 1.35.

A simple brewing ratio says to be 1:15. For one cup of coffee you need 20 grams (0.044 LB) of Coffee and 300 ml of water.

20 grams = 0.044 LB which means your one cup of coffee should cost above USD 0.1078.


COFFEE

Grinding Coffee somewhere

COFFEE LINKS

 

Daily Coffee News All about coffee ex prices

The Coffee Hunter News

Coffee Certified stock reports Warehouse reports

If there are links you want to add, or you got questions or comments do send an email to intraday@intraday.no

COFFEE PRICES IN 2021

Overview of Coffee prices from the latter part of 2021.

Each bar is derived from one week of trading activity. 

After week 52, Coffe makes a lower high in the weekly perspective, but holds the low from the week before.

After week 50, Coffee prices are lower rather than higher as seen in this latest bar but no real sign of weakness.

After week 49, there is another higher high (252) and a higher low (232) even though the week closed -4%.

After week week 48, there is is an inside weekly high (high at previous week high) and a higher low at 228. Seasonal top could quickly stop or weaken the onging strong trend.

After week 47, Coffee prices are still strong, and for the latest 10 weeks in a row. Coffee markets enters a week of potential seasonal weakness starting late this upcoming week. -But blue bars still prevail above 218.

After week 46, there is an extended blue weekly bar with a higher high and a higher low. 207 is this week's low bar point. 

After week 45, continuing the path of higher highs and close at the year high (219).

After week 43, 210 is the high-level to watch. A marginally higher high, and still a higher low on a weekly time-span. Prices are somewhat pausing / stalling here.

After week 42, there is a higher low and a lower high signalling potenitially stalling prices for the upside to come. 209 to be exceeded in order to regain upside.

After week 41, higher high and higher low. Watch for a break if it is trading below 197.

After week 40, the weekly chart is showing a higher high and a higher low, indicating higher Coffee prices to come.

After week 39, Coffee prices are again robust and very strong. Markets will have to trade below 189 in order to show weakness.

After week 38, prices are struggling to step higher on a weekly scale, but there is a higher high.

After week 37, prices are starting to slide with a lower high and a lower low. A close above 190 on a weekly scale is preferred in order to retain the uptrend.

After week 36, prices are stalling.

After week 35, the lowpoint is 4 points higher at 184.

After week 34, the weekly lowpooint @ 180 is USD 2 higher than last weeks low.

Partners or associates to intraday.se do at times own positions in physical Coffee or Coffee futures. Read Disclaimer below. #coffee #coffeeprices #coffeeseasonality #coffeemonthly #coffeeweekly #coffeedaily #coffeeintraday