CHARTS AND COMMENTS

Monday July 5th 2021

All categories are updated under respective sections.


July 2nd - Dax, Nasdaq100, Gold and Silver..

Are all updated pre European opening bell Friday July 2nd.

Look under their sections above.


Mid day Monday 21st of June

Sugar, Cocoa, Nasdaq100 and DAX sections are updated as of now.


DAX INDEX DAY BY DAY (last 5 yrs)

Revealing the day to day numbers of the German DAX index.

The accumulated performance of each day from the last 5 years is shown in this table. 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020.

The table will give you the overview of how the index really did throughout the last years. This does not mean the same dates will do the excact same this year or next, but maybe it could give you an indication of what could be coming. At least, have it in the back of your mind. The very upcoming week (7. - 11. of June) has shown sluggish performance. Maybe its all different this year?

060621 - DAX INTRADAY PERFORMANCE 5 yrs

 


Gold, Silver, Nasdaq100 and DAX

Comments and charts are updated as of today 02. of May 2021 under Silver, Gold, Nasdaq100 and DAX.


The importance of time

Seldom you read or hear about how a certain intraday of the week could be more important to watch and trade than another.

Looking at this table below, you quickly see that some days are so called up-days and some days are down-days. Revealing the numbers behind the colors will probably shock you! There are extreme differences to the performance of certain intradays.

2019 DAILY

So far in 2019, if you are long the Nasdaq100 index going into Thursdays, you are most likely to see the index fall significantly through that day. The very same is true for metals, where Thursdays are clearly the worst performing day of the week for both the Gold and the Silver.

If you would like to see the actual numbers behind the Reds and the Blues, simply send an email to intraday@intraday.no and the answers will be received for free.

Happy trading week, and make sure to stay up to date by following intraday.se at Instragram with the address @intraday.se


DAX 4 HRS

The German DAX index is only half as strong as the tech-weighted Nasdaq100 index since X-mas. It is up 11.2% since the low of 27th of Dec at 10.400 (now 11.575).

Looking at this 4-hours chart below (one bar represents 4 hrs of trading), there is little weakness to spot for now. The first support below the Red line may be seen as the 15. Feb low at 11.013. Trading underneight that level should be seen as the first major sign of potential further market weakness to come.

050319 - DAX FUTURE 4 HRS 


Nasdaq100 & the markets

Nasdaq100 has managed to move + 15% since x-mas, but is still - 10% from the October 2018 All Time High.

Updating the present longer term chart and comparing it to how the DJIA and DAX performed in 1966 into 1967 and 1973 into 1974, - it seems that markets next fase is more likely to turn lower over the next 135 to 170 tradingdays.

090219 - nasdaq100 vs 1966-1967 and 1973-1974

The 4 Red Dots are marked by the respective periodical lows, and shows us that 'if these market-maps are guides', a first potential low for Nasdaq100 will be in about 135 tradingsessions (66-67 DJIA) from this Monday 11th of Feb.. Most similar to the present price action developing from the October 1st top, continues to be the 73-74 DJIA scenario - with a lowpoint about 147 tradingdays away, and - 30.5% lower than yesterday Friday close.

According to the market-map from 1973 - 1974, there should now be about 4-5 tradingdays  more before 143 trading-sessions of sliding..


DAX TURN OF THE MONTH

Research shows that the German DAX index now performs sluggish around the turn of the month.

By looking at how the index performs 'two tradingdays before through two tradingdays after' the change of a month, you see that markets favours to turn significantly lower within this short 4 day timeframe four out of the last five instances.

 

290119 - DAX OVER THE MONTH

Trading over August to September saw the index drop - 2.7%. The 4 intradays October to November brought the index + 2.6% higher, but all last 5 'turn of the month' cases shows negative development of totally - 4.4%.

The tradingperiod analysed equals a start tomorrow Wednesday to end Monday. Remeber that passed performance is history and by no means accurate of what will happen in the future. Even though, the research here is an interesting observation of the passed.


Markets in perspective

Looking at history, reseach shows that stockmarkets could be far away from their end to current downturn. It seems that the October 01st 2018 top was spot on for now.

The graph below gives you the perspective. In February of 1966 the DJIA and DAX started trending down to bottom around the new year of 1967. In late October of 1973 DJIA and the DAX indices started the downturns ending in October of 1974.

Putting these downtrends into perspective, there are now between 154 and 189 intradays to go from present levels until markets could see their low points. These are marked with RED dots in the chart below.

By continuing to follow the DJIA path for 1973 into 1974, markets should not rule out prices - 30% lower than present levels this October of 2019 for thereby to be retested in December.  

140119 - NASDAQ100 IN PERSPECTIVE



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