CHARTS AND COMMENTS

When is High of the Year?

In the search for the High-month of the year, here are the results:

High in metals and index

The table includes Silver, Gold, Platinum, DAX and Nasdaq100.

1 is January and 12 is December.

2021: So far this year.


Yearly high and lows

Throughout the year, how many days between yearly low and yearly high?

Here is an updated table of the duration between highs and lows and lows to highs in Calendardays. It does not tell when the highs and lows arrive, only duration between them. Updated 28.09.2021

Highs and Lows of the year 2001 - 2021

Over the last 20 years, the table shows that the average time between yearly high and yearly low is more than 200 calendardays (on average).

The last 10 years, the German DAX index and the US Nasdaq100 index have both reached its yearly high before its yearly low, every year but in 2018. Is there a change to this pattern in 2022 where the high of the year steps in first? 

This overview is a clear proof that trends lasts a while.


Metals into week 36, 2021

Metals are stronger through week 35.

This graph above is equally weighted for Gold, Silver and Platinum, showing strength last week represented in a blue bar.

Gold vs Silver:

Gold continues to hold up better than Silver in the weekly perspective.

Nasdaq100 vs Gold:

 And the technology weighted Nasdaq100 index continues to outpace the price of Gold.


The Following week

Now as the Jackson Hole summit is past, what are markets doing?

A look at Nasadq100 and Gold over the last 20 years, shows that the technology weighted Nasdaq100 index has underperformed the price of Gold the next 5 tradingsessions.

Here is how Gold and Nasdaq100 index has performed every year the following the summit.

Gold (ave. + 0.1%) holds up better than Nasdaq100 (ave. - 0.7%). Last year, both fell 1.6 and 1.7%.

Different topics are discussed each year in Jackson Hole, and markets are contiously at different stages, but these are the true results no matter what.

Saturday Sept. 4th, 2021: This week above Gold + 0.5% and Nasdaq100 + 1.5%.


No end in sight...

The ratio for Platinum to Nasdaq100 shows little end in sight.

A renewed All-Time-Low yesterday at 0.064. As one red (blue) often leads to another red (blue), markets just have to await stronger signals, for this current prolonged downtrend to reverse. 

 


Jackson Hole 2021, Nasdaq100

Once a year since 1978, the US Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City has sponsored a 2 days symposium on an important economic issue facing the U.S. and world economies. This is hosted in late August in beautiful Jackson Hole, Wyoming. To learn more about the location of the annual symposium, watch Bloomberg TV's video External Link"Inside the Central Banking Hangouts of Jackson Hole."

Here is how markets behave through the meetings. Link to the meetings here.

Nasdaq100 vs Gold Jackson Hole

The developments of the Nasdaq100 index is here 'head to head' with the price of Gold. The graph show that Gold outperforms the Nasdaq100 index by alot. All toghether, over the last 20 years, Nasdaq100 shows + 1.8%, and Gold shows + 20.3%.

The duration for the period selected is from the start of the event to markets close 3 calendar days after the last day of the event. For 2021, this means entering the position today Thursday 26th of August and exiting the position this upcoming Tuesday the 31st. of August.

Remember that past performance is never any guarantee of how markets will behave in the future. Read Disclaimer below.


Platinum vs Nasdaq100 Wedn Aug. 25., 2021

The 0.070 was the last day of July. The 0.065 was last Thursday the 19th of August. Markets are at All-Time-Low levels and the Platinum Nasdaq100 ratio closed Tuesday at 0.066.


Monthly changes

Ever wondering how a particular asset is doing through a certain month?

There is now a monthly performance view for each and every month from 2001 - present in:

GoldSilverCoffeeSugarCocoaNasdaq100DAXBitcoinLumber and Platinum.

The monthly changes table is located below the indicators on the respective sites.

 


Nasdaq100 & Gold pre Mond. Aug. 23

Is the technology weighted Nasdaq100 index still better than Gold?

The weekly chart above shows the development of the Nasdaq100 index divided by the price of Gold.

As the graph signals, the index has outperformed Gold since May. This passed week gives a signal of that trend stalling. Is it time for a break or to head south? Gold looks to attempt to hold up better than Nasdaq100. Next week could quickly show if this is more true than false going forward when next week is giving the Blue or Red bar. The higher (lower) the numbers in the graph the more (less) OZ Gold needed in exchange for a contact of Nasdaq100.


Nasdaq100 vs Gold prices

The Nasdaq100 index continues to outperform the price of Gold.

This weekly chart above clearly demonstrates how Nasdaq100 has outperformed the Gold price development in 2021. Especially the last 10 weeks (since late May), the Nasdaq100 index has seen extreme performance. The higher the prices the more OZ Gold it takes to pay for one contract of the Nasdaq100 index.

 



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