In relation to the FOMC meeting next Tuesday and Wednesday the 14th and 15th;

To the FOMC Calendar here.

Below is the development of the Gold price last year. It shows you what happened from 2 hours pre to 2 hours post the actual release. Here is the statement from December 16th 2020.


This is a one minute chart, key points:

- Gold started at 1.857, moved down USD 12 to 1.845, and the back up USD 20 to 1.865.

- The first 20 minutes from the release (at 02:00 PM) moved south.

- From 20 minutes after the release, the buyers where in control over the next 46 minutes.

- This down and up move lasted a total of 1 hour and 6 minutes and ended USD 8 higher.

- After this USD 20 stretch to the upside, the price moved sideways.

- The entire 4 hour period above started out at 1.854, and closed out USD higher at 1.864.

History is certainly no guarantee, but it could be a reference to individual triggers.


The seasonality chart for Metals

The seasonality chart below shows Gold, Silver and Platinum into one graph where you see their respective stronger and weaker seasons in comparison. The vertical periods of Blue and Red are precious metals common strong and weaker periods.

This way it is easier to see what metal starts its seasonal move first and which one is lagging. When all 3 commodities have their respective strong or weak periods collectively is 'when to be' active (not active) in metals.

Chart is not taking 2021 into account.

Precious metals into December 2021

The monthly chart shows where Gold, Silver and Platinum are at over the last 4 years.

In this chart Gold, Silver and Platinum are equaly weighted.

The last 4 years these precious metals prices are 20.7% higher. Prices are actually -4.4% from the August close. For prices to reach the February 2021 close, they must rise 8%. 

Metals into week 48

To see how the precious metals markets are developing, we want to look at Gold, Silver and Platinum toghether.

Below is the composed weekly graph where all three metals are equally weighted.

 On a weekly scale, there is a lower low and a lower high for the latest week. This development signals market weakness rather than strength going forward.

To see renewd strength for the precious metals sector, Blue bars 'must' quickly resume.

Diving further into details, here is Gold over Silver.

This weekly graph (above) show Gold prices stronger relative to Silver prices. So what about Platinum?

The graph shows that Gold also outperforms Platinum on the weekly scale. For the white metal to see more strength than Gold, markets will be looking for these bars to turn Blue (higher highs and higher lows).

And for this last one. Platinum up against Silver.

This chart shows that Silver is relatively stronger than the development of Platinum. As long as this is trending south, Silver will continue to outperform Platinum on a weekly bias.

In conclusion, Metals are generally weak until markets see a fresh Blue weekly bar in the top chart displayed. Gold is holding up better than Silver and Platinum. And Silver is holding better than Platinum (for now at least).

Metals into week 45

Gold, Silver and Platinum are collectivly sideways after last week.

Seasonally, the weeks ahead are heavy and metal prices could thereby dip before attempting to move higher.

The weekly chart above signals prices are flat-moving for now, with a slightly positive bias by its latest blue colour Heikin Ashi.

Metals into week 44

Gold, Silver and Platinum are collectivly sideways this past week.

The latest bar is still blue, but as an 'inside bar' it is more difficult to say if this next week could break to the upside or downside. Let's follow the week closely. Going into November, this may be an exciting month as history shows the possibility of huge losses or big gains.


Here is how the price of Gold behaved throughout the month of October.

The 4 weeks of trading are put on top of each other to show excactly how the tradingweek develop. The weeks are named W1, W2, W3, and W4.


Metals into week 43.

Gold, Silver and Platinum are collectively higher this past week.

The chart above contains Gold, Silver and Platinum equally weighted. This last week shows a higher high and a higher low giving precious metals signs of further potential strength to come.

Metals into week 42

After week 41, metals markets are generally higher, and buiding higher highs and lows.

The chart of Gold, Silver and Platinum equally weighted, did show clear strength this past week. Looking at the graph, going into week 42 should be positive for higher precious metals prices to come.

Metals into week 41

After week 40, there are some signs to metals potentially moving higher with Platinum leading the pack. For the week Platinum was up 5% + , Gold unchanged and Silver + 0.6%.


This graph gives the picture of Gold, Silver and Platinum. All equally weighted.

The weekly chart do show a higher low and and a higher high. This is a positive sign. Looking at the weekly trend for three metals there is no change to the present downward pressure. But, if they do show strength through week 41, there will be renewed signs of possibly higher metal prices to come.



I N T R A D A Y . S E







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