CHARTS AND COMMENTS

Precious Metals in 2022

This chart below represents seasonality for Gold, Silver and Platinum in 2022.

It is to be read like this:

BLUE PERIOD - ALL STRONG SEASONALITY.

PINK PERIOD - ALL WEAK SEASONALITY.

BLUE HORIZONTAL LINE - HOW FAR INTO THE YEAR MARKETS ARE TRADING.

GOLDEN LINE - SHOWS STRONG PERIODS FOR GOLD.

SILVER LINE - SHOWS STRONG PERIODS FOR SILVER.

DARKEST LINE - SHOWS STRONG PERIODS FOR PLATINUM.

RED LINES - ALL WEAKER PERIODS FOR GOLD, SILVER AND PLATINUM.

 

The overview above shows you how seasonality (historical performance) have been for the 3 metals. Whenever there is a Blue period all three metals are strong. Whenever there is a Pink period one or more of the metals are weak.

The graph should give a pretty clear picture of when the individual metals could be strong (weak) throughout the year.

History is never any guarantee for the future. Read disclaimer.


The Low in 2022

The overview below shows the perspective of When do markets make its Low of the year? In what month. Is it more likely to be about the same month each year? Does it differ per asset, and are there similarities?

Regardless of your market view, and technical analysis, here is the truth. Study the table.

Month Low


The High in 2022

The overview below shows the perspective of When do markets make its High of the year? In what month. Is it more likely to be about the same month each year? Does it differ per asset, and are there similarities?

Regardless of your market view, and technical analysis, here is the truth. Study the table.

Month High


Perspectives in 2022

This table is a gift and should be valuable to anyone participating in the markets. 

It shows how many calendar days there are between the two extremes (the yearly high and the yearly low) within the year, since 2001.

The overview also includes Bitcoin from 2011 and the Crypto Market from 2015.

Duration

In other words, when a lowpoint (highpoint) is set for the year, it will be most likely to see the upcoming highpoint (lowpoint) more than 200 days later. Stay patient.

#gold #silver #platinum #dax #nasdaq100 #coffee #sugar #cocoa #bitcoin #cryptos

 


Metals failing?

This chart below consists of Gold, Silver and Platinum, and presents the monthly scale where each bar equals one month of trading activity. Weightings of the metals are set equally.

According to the graph, there is little strength and more weakness to the developments for the precious metals sector (for now).  Traditionally, a chart like the one above could see very much lower prices ahead if it breaks down for real. A broader consolidation has built up the last few months...and the latest monthly bar shows a lower low and lower high, - purifying the potential for further weakness to come.

"The only" rescue to see higher prices...is perhaps Seasonality. Historically, January and February are strong months for all three metals. Happy trading in 2022 and stay tuned!

#gold #goldprices #silver #silverprices #platinum #platinumprices #preciousmetals #preciousmetalsprices


DAX VS NASDAQ100

A smaller clue going into 2022 for the two major indices DAX and Nasdaq100:

This chart compares the European DAX index to the American Nasdaq100 index.

The vertical Blue and Pink fields represent the historical common seasonal strong (weak) periods. Both indices are presently in a strong (Light blue)  phase from October 30th until the last couple of days of the year.

Nasdaq100 is sited in a Blue line if it has strong seasonality, and Red if it has weak seasonality.

DAX is sited in a Green line if it has strong seasonality, and Red if it has weak seasonality.

Heading into the new year, maybe it's worthwhile to only stay positioned according to both parties having their common seasonal strong (weak) periods.

#nasdaq100in2022 #daxin2022


GOLD NEXT WEDNESDAY FED DAY

In relation to the FOMC meeting next Tuesday and Wednesday the 14th and 15th;

To the FOMC Calendar here.

Below is the development of the Gold price last year. It shows you what happened from 2 hours pre to 2 hours post the actual release. Here is the statement from December 16th 2020.

 

This is a one minute chart, key points:

- Gold started at 1.857, moved down USD 12 to 1.845, and the back up USD 20 to 1.865.

- The first 20 minutes from the release (at 02:00 PM) moved south.

- From 20 minutes after the release, the buyers where in control over the next 46 minutes.

- This down and up move lasted a total of 1 hour and 6 minutes and ended USD 8 higher.

- After this USD 20 stretch to the upside, the price moved sideways.

- The entire 4 hour period above started out at 1.854, and closed out USD higher at 1.864.

History is certainly no guarantee, but it could be a reference to individual triggers.

 


The seasonality chart for Metals

The seasonality chart below shows Gold, Silver and Platinum into one graph where you see their respective stronger and weaker seasons in comparison. The vertical periods of Blue and Red are precious metals common strong and weaker periods.

This way it is easier to see what metal starts its seasonal move first and which one is lagging. When all 3 commodities have their respective strong or weak periods collectively is 'when to be' active (not active) in metals.

Chart is not taking 2021 into account.


Precious metals into December 2021

The monthly chart shows where Gold, Silver and Platinum are at over the last 4 years.

In this chart Gold, Silver and Platinum are equaly weighted.

The last 4 years these precious metals prices are 20.7% higher. Prices are actually -4.4% from the August close. For prices to reach the February 2021 close, they must rise 8%. 


Metals into week 48

To see how the precious metals markets are developing, we want to look at Gold, Silver and Platinum toghether.

Below is the composed weekly graph where all three metals are equally weighted.

 On a weekly scale, there is a lower low and a lower high for the latest week. This development signals market weakness rather than strength going forward.

To see renewd strength for the precious metals sector, Blue bars 'must' quickly resume.

Diving further into details, here is Gold over Silver.

This weekly graph (above) show Gold prices stronger relative to Silver prices. So what about Platinum?

The graph shows that Gold also outperforms Platinum on the weekly scale. For the white metal to see more strength than Gold, markets will be looking for these bars to turn Blue (higher highs and higher lows).

And for this last one. Platinum up against Silver.

This chart shows that Silver is relatively stronger than the development of Platinum. As long as this is trending south, Silver will continue to outperform Platinum on a weekly bias.

In conclusion, Metals are generally weak until markets see a fresh Blue weekly bar in the top chart displayed. Gold is holding up better than Silver and Platinum. And Silver is holding better than Platinum (for now at least).



RSS

I N T R A D A Y . S E

IMG_4240

TO

INTRADAY.SE

instagram

 

SOFT COMMODITIES

What would you trade? (i)




PRECIOUS METALS

What would you trade? (ii)



HOLDING PERIOD

You hold positions for?







TRADING

You mostly trade?




MACRO ECON

You prefer to watch?



GOLD INTRADAY XAU

SILVER INTRADAY XAG

GOLD SILVER RATIO

NASDAQ 100 INTRADAY

DAX INTRADAY

COFFEE ONE YEAR