daily ranges - high to low or low to high

RANGE  GOLD  SILVER  NASDAQ100  DAX  COFFEE  SUGAR  COCOA  
  DAILY  12.50  00.25  104  150  02.75  0.35  66.5  
30 MIN. 01.45 00.03 020 026 0.70 0.07 14.0  
2 HRS. 03.00 00.06 035 47 01.00 0.12 29.0  

Intraday-price-moves for spesified timeframes (showing the 'volatility' expected). Ex: If @ 02:00 PM Gold has already moved USD 14 for the day, then it is less likely Gold will stretch much further that day. Within a 2 hour period for ex., do expect at least USD 3 move for GOLD and so on. Be happy to acheive intraday gains equal to a specified range.

intraday chart and comment

Dax and Gold for Tuesday 111218.

There are two routes put out for tomorrow Tuesday 11.12.18.

The first one is an analysis of Gold. The yellow metal do trade quite strongly during parts of Tuesday since this passed summer.

GOLD INTRADAY TUESDAY 111218 

Gold's three interesting timewindows to look out for tomorrow Tuesday, is just after midnight (all times displayed are set for CET / GMT + 1 HR.). The second timewindow is around 14:30 when the US Producer Price Index numbers are released. And the third window approx one hour before US trading session close. 

The Dax Future index map below shows a strong trending european stock market session for tomorrow Tuesday. The route suggests a down, but maps could be inverse.

DAX MAP TUESDAY 111218 

Remember that these maps are created based on researched intraday data, and may differ totally from what actually will happen in the markets. The timewindows could pinpoint market turns of interest or signal support or resistance to prices as they develop. You never know until tomorrow is history.

Always keep a preferred stop loss in place for all positions, and be aware of the daily ranges.

On top of this page you will see how much certain instruments move within its certain timeframe.

 

...And below - the actual traded Gold market and DAX Future for this Tuesday:

131218 - GOLD ACTUAL TUESDAY 111218

When it comes to the Gold development for Tuesday (see actual traded chart above), the map outlined to buy at about 00:10 CET for then to sell out the position at 14:30 CET. At 14:30 CET, a short position is entered and then covered around 20:50 CET. The range (low to high, or high to low) this intraday was USD 7. Following the map took home the profit of + USD 6.9, using only stop loss of USD 2 a trade. Tight, but enough to not be stopped out.

Below is the Dax Future to be compared to its map (further up in this post).

131218 - DAX ACTUAL INTRADAY TUESDAY

The Dax Future suggested a strong trending map for Tuesday, and a potentially inverse one. This turned out to be the case.

So -  If believing in an inverse actual traded intraday, trading starts off 09:20 CET as a long position to be sold out around 16:10 CET, for then to switch to a short position to be covered 17:30 CET. This scenario made + 205 points with a 30 points stop loss. 

If the sited map was 100% followed, the stop loss would have determined the profit / loss case for the intraday. When entering a short position 09:20 CET, a stop loss of 30 points would have been hit within an hour. At that time or later in the day, a thought is to see the next upcoming timewindow as a high rather than a low for thereby to go short again. A short trade 16:10 CET to be covered 17:30 was highly profitable (+ 45 points). When adding this to the first loosing trade, this Tuesday turned out + 15 points. 


Dax index for Friday

The weak Friday.

When researching a roadmap for the Dax Future index for this Friday, there looks to be a turnaround just after the European open for then to see markets trend lower into the US session. This complete mapped intraday chart is layed out below.

DAX MAPPED FOR FRIDAY NOV 30 2018

Looking deeper into Friday's development for this index, there is a part of the day which stands out. This time span runs from 14:00 - 15:00 CET:

Below is a table outlining how the DAX performs until now that one hour of trading from July this year.

DAX Fridays to Nov 30th 2018 

The average movement for the index is - 18 points from 14 - 15 CET and the range 58 points. Why this downmove has been so consistant is difficult to tell, but economic macro data normally released 14:30 CET could be an essential factor.  

This table do support today's intraday Dax map, but remember that timewindows may act inverse or even accelerate an already existing trend. Read stop loss.

 

...And here is the actual traded Das Future index for Friday the 30th:

DAX ACTUAL FOR FRIDAY NOV 30TH

Depending on how this map for Friday was traded, the outcome by following the map could resulted in + 40 points this intraday. The trades could for ex have been - Long at 04:10 to sell out at 09:30. Turn short at 09:30 to cover the position 15:50. Go long 15:50 to sell out 16:40.

The results will obviously depend on were stop losses are placed, and how exact the timing of the trades are up against the timewindows.

 

 


DAX FRIDAY 09. NOV 18.

Dax Future index shows plenty of room to move the rest of the day.

According to the intraday map below, the first upcoming timewindow around 11:30 CET could give direction to around 14:50 CET for then to switch direction until 17:50 CET.

DAXFRIDAY 091118


Markets tops as of Tuesday 30th Oct.

Nasdaq100 continues its weakness from Oct 1st, and is now down 11.2% since the recent peak. The table below shows how the present trading-level unfolds compared to the 2007 and 2000 peaks.

NASDAQ100 VS XAG TABLE

Markets are now 21 intradays post its very Nasdaq100 top. This table outlines performance through next Friday (29 tradingdays post its respective daily peaks). The table overview could now paint a consolidation fase over the coming 9 intradays for the index, and somewhat stronger Silver prices going into next Friday.

This next chart shows the development for both Nasdaq100 index and price of Silver for 46 intradays post the 2000, 2007 and 2018 peaks.

NASDAQ100 TOPS VS SILVER 2000 2007 2018

This last chart compares 1987 for DJIA vs Nasdaq100 in 2000, 2007 and 2018.

MARKETS XX

The red vertical line is placed at November 14th 2018, and the chart displays 100 tradingdays post respective peaks. Only time will show if history is a trading map.


DAX mapped Tuesday 30. Oct.

The Dax Future has been trending strongly down since late september, and the last 5 weeks have seen as much as close to a 1.100 points drop. The interesting aspect of this, is that - over 70% of this greater move come out of Wednesdays! Summing up the Tuesdays, it is the single positive intraday of the week. So looking back, Tuesday has been a day of consolidation before the index has turned lower.

Below is the researched and mapped Dax Future chart for tomorrow Tuesday. One bar represents 10 minutes of trading.

DAX FUTURE MAPPED FOR TUESDAY 30TH OCT 2018

The timewindow to be aware could definantly be 11:30 CET. Remember that this is the second to last day of the month and great fluctuations may occur. Always keep a preferred stop loss in place.

Looking back at the last two intradays called 'second to last intraday of the month', below is how the markets behaved for the DAX Future.

Dax second to last day of the month

The timewindows in Bold (11:30 and apprx. 22:00), are also the timewindows sited for tomorrows mapped intraday chart. The picture paints potential rising hours from 11:30 towards US session close @ 22:00 (CET).

 ...and below is the actual traded chart for this Tuesday 30th. of October.

Dax Future Tuesday 30th of Oct actual

The graph do show weakness from the European open into lunch hour, and strenght in the afternon - as the map explained. The actual picture showed rising hours from 11:30 towards US session close as the map initiated. Times are CET.


DAX MONDAY 22.10.18

After reseaching intraday action for Mondays, this is how tomorrows development could look like for the DAX Future index.

DAXRESEARCHEDMONDAY231018

Timewindows are set for CEST and the chart is a 10 minute bar chart.

The two important times for the DAX Monday 22nd, is 08:30 and 16:40. To see the actual outcome in comparison to this mapped chart - see the DAX page.

Remember that timewindows may act inverse to price, as support - or as resistance to price, anyhow. It could pause an already excisting trend and even excellerate it. Make sure to keep a preffered stop loss in place at all times.

Below is how last Monday moved. The timewindows were preferred entry and exit times based on similar research.

DaxMondayOctober15th

The outcome sited + 100 points with a 15 points stop loss.

 


NASDAQ100 WEDNESDAY 17.10.18

Nasdaq100 Future index shows a clear pattern to the downside on Wednesdays the last weeks. This is 10 minute bar chart shows the trend.

NASDAQ100FUTUREWEDNESDAYS

Research shows that Wednesdays (by far) shows the weakest intraday trend for the day of the week lately.

According to the chart, it is worthwhile to be aware of the potentially strong intraday trend from 08:30 AM CEST into about 17:10. These are the timewindows to look for highs and lows. From about 20:20 into the late night there has been strong selloffs.

Always remember that moves may set up to be inverse to what you see, and that timewindows could be important for the very next move.

.....And below is the actual Wednesday 17.10.2018 vs the Wednesday intraday map shown Tuesday.

Nasdaq100Wednesday171018

By following todays map, a stop loss of 20 points would have been ok, and the reward from a shortposition at 08:40 CEST to 17:10 resulted in a + 100 points trade. 


Silver vs Nasdaq100 Friday

Nasdaq100 continued to fall today as Silver recover.

According to the table below (see Wednesday for explain), Nasdaq100 could recover or flatten out Friday if comparing to the 2000 and 2007 peaks.

silvervsnasdaq100fri

If the table is still some sort of map, Nasdaq100 index for next week could be flat (as in 2007) or quite downtrending (as in 2000). Only time will show.

Below is the ongoing chart comparisons updated after intraday Thursday.

nasdaq100topvsSilverxxx

 


Silver vs Nasdaq100 Thursday

Silver vs Nasdaq100 below. Continued from yesterday - see yesterday for table explained.

nasdaq100silvertabletop

Today is intraday number 8 from present Nasdaq100 top.

Yesterday saw a major fall for the Nasdaq100 index relative to the 2007 topping formation.

If 2007 is a route, the index may fall another 2% today, only to recover somewhat tomorrow to go sideways next week.  The year 2000 route shows stength today and tomorrow, and then trending down significantly next week. The table shows Silver to outperform this next period.

The chart below gives you present state.

nasdaq100topvssilver


NASDAQ100 TOPs

Today Wednesday is the 8th intraday since the Nasdaq100 (temp.) top.

Below is a table showing how the present terrain for the Nasdaq100 index now evolves compared to the 2000 and 2007 tops.

nasdaq100topdays

The table shows the development from the very intraday top in 2000 and 2007 compared to todays trading envionment. It is impossible to know if it turns out somewhat true...

If the number is BLUE, it marks stronger trading than the day before.

If the number is RED, it marks weaker trading than the day before.

The 2000 market top shows strong trading today, tomorrow and this Friday.

The 2007 market top shows weak trading today and tomorrow, and somewhat stronger this coming Friday.

Next trading week is weak for 2007 and extremely weak for 2000. Only time will show if any of these years are maps for our present trading.

 

 


NASDAQ100 NOW VS 2000 2007

Nasdaq100 index now compared to its topping development in 2000 and 2007.

NASDAQ100TOP

Regardsless of how you look at it - this should be an interresting chart if you are into the markets in any way. The RED line shows where the Nasdaq100 index is trading right now indexed to the year 2000 top and the 2007 top.

The chart shows you the index performance 20 tradingdays pre the daily topaction, and 55 days post the daily top action. Looking at the 2007 top, the index trades sideways from todays levels for about 35 more tradingdays and then head further south. The 2000 development shows us a steep decline within the next few trading sessions, and thereby see more choppy to downtrending intradays.


Best & Worst days Nasdaq100

Looking at the Nasdaq100 Future index intraday for the entire week the last weeks, you now see that Thursday is the strongest and the best intraday for Longs, and Friday is the weakest day and best intraday for Shorts. Analysis consists of intraday data from daily Opens through its Closees.

The intraday Thursday long positions should be exited just after the US Open at about 15:40, and the Fridays shorts should be held until session close.

Wednesdays seems to be a steady down day, and positions may well be kept from the Open to its close.

For further info about the research, email intraday@intraday.no 

 


DAX MONDAYS

Looking at the last Mondays, here is the priceaction for German DAX index in a 10 minute chart. 1 bar represents 10 minutes.

DAXMONDAYS


DAX FRIDAYS

daxfutureFridays

Dax Future for Fridays in clear moves. Tomorrows waves are still to come. According to the last Fridays, the primary intraday trend runs from about 08:40 to 14:50 European time (GMT + 1 HR).

 Daxintradaylast5Fridays

How the Dax Future has performed the last Fridays is rather weak than strong. See chart above.


DAX TRADES THUR. 13. SEPT.

DAXTHURSDAY130918

DAX FUTURE Thursday 13. sept (today) vs prior Thursdays. - Chart aiming to find better potential entries and exits intraday: 

A long position at 09:40 to sell out the position to go short 14:30 would sum up to + 52 points with a stop loss of 10 points.

 


DAX ON WEDNESDAY'S

DAXFUTUREWEDNESDAYS

The Dax Future for the last 5 Wednesday's above.

Below is the table of its Highs and Lows.

  5-Sep 29-Aug 22-Aug 15-Aug 8-Aug
HIGH 12225 12571 12418 12414 12692
DIFF. 184 68 104 295 102
LOW 12041 12503 12314 12119 12590


DAX LAST 5 DAYS

DAX5AVE

The German DAX index future this passed week. Highs and lows in an average graph.

The green line represents a 6 bars moving average.

Remember that all times displayed are set to GMT + 1 HR.


DAX WEEK 33

DAXLAST5DAYS

Highs and lows for the DAX Future for the last 5 tradingdays.


DAX week 32

DAXFUTURE5DAYS

The European DAX index ended the week to the weak side. Here you see each tradingday individually, to match the moves for comparisons. As you can see, markets are quiet throughout the Asian sessions. Sellingpressure for the DAX amounts in the European mornings, except Tuesday and the somewhat stronger Thursday. After the European close, the future index does not move much.

A clearer picture of the entire week is drawn below, showing the average direction for the 5 sessions above through our own formula.

DAXFUTUREAVE5DAYS


Dax daily volatility

DAX FUTURE DAILY VOLA 2

The diagram above shows you how much the German DAX Future Index fluctuate intraday. 2018 (so far) shows a larger daily tradingrange than last year. The average daily moves is 181 points compared to 144 last year.



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