daily ranges - high to low or low to high

RANGE  GOLD  SILVER  NASDAQ100  DAX  COFFEE  SUGAR  COCOA  
  DAILY  12.50  00.25  104  150  02.75  0.35  66.5  
30 MIN. 01.45 00.03 020 026 0.70 0.07 14.0  
2 HRS. 03.00 00.06 035 47 01.00 0.12 29.0  

Intraday-price-moves for spesified timeframes (showing the 'volatility' expected). Ex: If @ 02:00 PM Gold has already moved USD 14 for the day, then it is less likely Gold will stretch much further that day. Within a 2 hour period for ex., do expect at least USD 3 move for GOLD and so on. Be happy to acheive intraday gains equal to a specified range.

intraday chart and comment

Coffee Monday 29. & Tuesday 30.

Coffee prices have been strong lately, after testing its summer-lows of 2006 in September.

Here is how the Coffee behaves the last few weeks (total):

COFFEE PRICES LAST 5 WEEKS

Monday has definitly produced the weakest intraday results of the week, and Friday the really strongest.

Looking to the upcoming tradingweek, the chart below displays a mapped pattern for Monday and Tuesday based on intraday data.

COFFEE INTRADAY MAPPED MOND 29TH AND TUESD 30TH

Viewing the 10 minute bar chart above, Monday the 29th seems to be a sideways to down day. Tuesday the 30th around 11:10 CEST looks to be the first interresting timewindow to watch in conjunction to the last tradinghour later in the day. Only time will show how this map turns up against upcoming actual coffee prices.

..and here are the actual traded coffee contracts below.

COFFEE INTRADAY ACTUAL MOND 29TH AND TUESD 30TH

This shows the importance of the two timewindow for Coffee.  Short position entry @ 14:10 Monday and exited @ 11:00 Tuesday counted as a 5% move. Looking back, it is valuable to see how the prior Mondays behaved (see daily coffee price table above)


COFFEE LAST 5 DAYS

COFFEELAST5DAYS

Coffee prices intraday last 5 days, times are GMT + 1 HR.


Coffee daily volatility

COFFEEVOLA

The diagram above shows you how much Coffee prices fluctuate intraday. 2018 shows the tightest tradingrange. We will come back to what times of the day which could typically mark high and lowpoints.

Coffee moves in a range averaging 1.9% per day this year compared to 2.2% in 2017.


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