VOLATILITY

RANGE  GOLD  SILVER  NASDAQ100  DAX  COFFEE  SUGAR  COCOA  WTI OIL
30 MIN. 06.10 00.20 022 030 00.70 00.06 012 00.14
2 HRS. 03.00 00.06 041 050 01.00 00.12 029 00.50 
4 HRS 04.30 00.09 048 067 01.30 00.17 037 00.70
6 HRS 05.70 00.12 061 086 01.30 00.17 033 00.80
DAILY 12.20 00.25 136 179 02.60 00.33 074 01.80
WEEKLY 26.50 00.53 306 426 05.40 00.69 157 03.90

30 min row is updated as of 02. Sep .2020 Intraday-price-moves for certain timeframes (showing 'volatility' or range expected). Ex: If @ 02:00 PM Gold has already moved USD 14 that day, then it's less likely to move much further that day. Within a 2 hour period for ex., expect USD 3 move for GOLD and so on. Always be happy to acheive gains equal to the specified time-range. The table is also useful for stop-loss distances.

CHARTS AND OR COMMENTS

Gold and Silver Wednesday 30th of June

Both Gold and Silver sections are updated.


Platinum pre Monday 28th of June

 

Platinum happened to see the seasonal low levels over the weekend. It could correspond to what you observe in our chart below. The low may have been set in a few days early this year if daily prices are moving higher from here.

According to seasonalities, Platinum could stay strong over the next 6 - 8 weeks. Depending on the investment style do always keep an appropriate stop loss in case a trade turns south. 

Positive intraday's for Platinum moves around + 2%, and negative moves could easily slip - 3%. This past week may have proven a turnaround by looking at the day to day moves in addition to the seasonality pic above.

The chart above indicates a positive move is in the making. The blue line is the price and is put together with a formulated MACD indicator to show streth and weakness.

The above indicator is derived from RSI levels now signaling strength rather than weakness.

Read more about investment supply and demand for Platinum here.

 

From time to time, partners and associates of intraday.se do keep positions in Platinum Spot and Futures contracts. The charts above, are only historical prices and indicators to see  how Platinum has evolved in the past, and is not intended as any type of financial advice. See our disclamer.


Gold and Silver Friday 25.

Both metals are updated under their sections. Gold and Silver.


Gold and Silver Nasdaq100 for Thursday 24.

Gold, Silver and Nasdaq100 sections are updated ready for tomorrow Thursday's trading action.


Wednesday 23rd.

Want to see where Gold, Silver and Coffee prices are at? Then head over to the individual sections, they are updated.


Precious metals June 22.

Gold, Silver and Platinum have all taken a beating lately, espesially this last week. Bringing up this chart now, because we are getting closer and closer to the major seasonal low in metals. According to long term studies of seasonal cycles, the upcoming weeks should benefit from owning precious metals. As they have been falling and falling, it is diffifult to now trust a sudden turnaround within a few days. But one thing is for sure, seasonal player are probably stepping in try to buy these days because of the trust in their trading system.

From time to time, partners and associates of intraday.se do keep positions in Gold, Silver and Platinum. The pic above, is only an historical guide to how prices have evolved throughout the year in the past, and is not intended as any type of financial advice. See our disclamer.


Pre Tuesday 22nd open..

....Click on the assets sections - they are all updated.


Mid day Monday 21st of June

Sugar, Cocoa, Nasdaq100 and DAX sections are updated as of now.


Updated pre Monday 21st of June

Gold, Silver and Coffee sections are updated now pre Monday 21st of June.


Seasonal low in Metals

The seasonal chart below compares the price development for Gold, Silver and Platinum in US dollars in 2021 against earlier years. The chart is freshly updated since the last post 7th of June.

As you see, there is now + - 11 calendar days to the historical seasonal low for metals. Looking to technical indicators, there are no strong factors in place for a turn up yet. There was a weak close yesterday in conjunction to the latest US Federal Reserve press release. It is certainly interesting to follow how the prices develop going into the latter stage of next week. 

170621 - METALS SEASONALITY

From time to time, partners and associates of intraday.se do keep positions in Gold, Silver and Platinum. The pic above, is only an historical guide to how prices have evolved throughout the year in the past, and is not intended as any type of financial advice. See our disclamer.


Silver ahead of June 15th

Silver is updated after Monday close in detail here.


Coffee note

A note is added to the Coffee section today.


SOFT SEASONALITY

Coffee, Sugar and Cocoa - Giving you the updated seasonal chart of the soft commodities. The dark line is so far in 2021. The red line represents the day to day movements throughout the year, - collectively over the last 15 years.

Each of them counts 1/3 each in this graph meaning they are equally weighted.

070621 - softs seasonality

Going forward it will be interesting to see how well this seasonal floor from May 24 will hold going into + - October 19th.

At times, partners and associates of intraday.se do carry positions in the commodities mentioned. If you choose to take part in the commodities space, make sure you always fully understand the risk involved trading these volatile assets. See Disclaimer.


METALS - SEASONALITY

As June is gradually becoming real summer in Europe, prepear for a potentially very strong move in Metals to arrive soon.

This seasonal chart shows how 2021 is evolving VS the yearly historical performance of the metals (Gold, Silver and Platinum). As you see, + - the 27th of June is a time turning point for the precious metals. The stronger period normally lasts into the fall, normally lasting about 74 calendar days. The waiting game has started in the PM sector. Remember that a seasonal move do happen to move counter trend wise, meaning a low (high) could act as a high (low). Therefore, keep always a proper stop loss in place.

070621 - metal seasonality

From time to time, partners and associates of intraday.se do keep positions in Gold, Silver and Platinum. The pic above, is only an historical guide to how prices have evolved throughout the year in the past, and is not intended as any type of financial advice. See our disclamer.

  


DAX INDEX DAY BY DAY (last 5 yrs)

Revealing the day to day numbers of the German DAX index.

The accumulated performance of each day from the last 5 years is shown in this table. 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019 and 2020.

The table will give you the overview of how the index really did throughout the last years. This does not mean the same dates will do the excact same this year or next, but maybe it could give you an indication of what could be coming. At least, have it in the back of your mind. The very upcoming week (7. - 11. of June) has shown sluggish performance. Maybe its all different this year?

060621 - DAX INTRADAY PERFORMANCE 5 yrs

 


Platinum vs Nasdaq100

Is it time for the rare white metal (Platinum) to outperform the technology weighted Nasdaq100?

 

020621 - PLATINUM VS NASDAQ100

The pic above shows an attempt for the Platinum Nasdaq100 index ratio to move higher from a higher low-level than its all-time-low in November of last year. The MACD indicator is now showing a higher bar than yesterday and the day before, giving support to the textbook for higher prices to come.

For this price-graph to move higher (lower) we need to see Platinum outperform (underperform) the Nasdaq100 index.

Partners and associates to Intraday.se may at times have positions in both instruments. 


BITCOIN DAY BY DAY (last 5 years)

This is an overview of the daily performance in Bitcoin day by day accumulated for the last 5 years: 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020. 

020621 - BITCOIN DAY BY DAY

Looking at the table, you see the one pattern which stands out - one positive day (acc 5 yrs) is usually followed up by another positive day. The same for a negative day. When having a negative day (acc 5 yrs), it is likely to see the next day as a negative as well.

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