trading ranges - high to low or low to high

RANGE  GOLD  SILVER  NASDAQ100  DAX  COFFEE  SUGAR  COCOA  WTI OIL
30 MIN. 01.45 00.03 023 027 00.70 00.07 014 00.30 
2 HRS. 03.00 00.06 041 050 01.00 00.12 029 00.50 
4 HRS 04.30 00.09 048 067 01.30 00.17 037 00.70
6 HRS 05.70 00.12 061 086 01.30 00.17 033 00.80
DAILY 12.20 00.25 136 179 02.60 00.33 074 01.80
WEEKLY 26.50 00.53 306 426 05.40 00.69 157 03.90

Intraday-price-moves for dedicated timeframes (showing the 'volatility' expected). Ex: If @ 02:00 PM Gold has already moved USD 14 for the day, then it is less likely Gold will stretch much further that day. Within a 2 hour period for ex., do expect a USD 3 move for GOLD and so on. Be happy to acheive intraday gains equal to a specified range. Numbers also to be used towards stop loss ranges.

intraday chart and comment

Gold on track

The Goldprice is holding up with its roadmap from earlier years. In order to continue on this path, markets needs to keep off / stay above last weeks low @ 1.306.

180219 - GOLD ROADMAP

The upcoming seasonal top finds place next Monday February 25th plus minus one tradingday. Only time will show if this proves correct this time around.

At the same time, it is interesting to take a look at the price of Platinum to Gold. The rear metal has continued to see weakness and the relative strength to Gold is actually - 15.6% since November 8th. At that time, gold traded at 1.223,5.

Since 1970, Platinum is currently seeing a value which is - 56% lower than its average relative price to Gold. A ratio this low has never been observed during the analyzed period. This is telling us that Platinum may be dirt cheap at current levels from an historial perspective. 

180219 - PLATINUM GOLD RATIO DAILY

The Red solid line in the graph above, is a 50 day moving average which is now + 3.9% above the closing this passed Friday.

If or rather when markets see Platinum to Gold above this Red solid line, it could be a first and clearer sign that the price of Platinum could be entering a period where it will outperform Gold, or that markets wish to prefer having Platinum over Gold.

To put preent state into perspective - Gold is now trading USD 97.5 above its November price, and Platinum is trading USD 63,5 lower than its November price.

Only time will show when markets wants this equilibrium to level out..

 


Nasdaq100 & the markets

Nasdaq100 has managed to move + 15% since x-mas, but is still - 10% from the October 2018 All Time High.

Updating the present longer term chart and comparing it to how the DJIA and DAX performed in 1966 into 1967 and 1973 into 1974, - it seems that markets next fase is more likely to turn lower over the next 135 to 170 tradingdays.

090219 - nasdaq100 vs 1966-1967 and 1973-1974

The 4 Red Dots are marked by the respective periodical lows, and shows us that 'if these market-maps are guides', a first potential low for Nasdaq100 will be in about 135 tradingsessions (66-67 DJIA) from this Monday 11th of Feb.. Most similar to the present price action developing from the October 1st top, continues to be the 73-74 DJIA scenario - with a lowpoint about 147 tradingdays away, and - 30.5% lower than yesterday Friday close.

According to the market-map from 1973 - 1974, there should now be about 4-5 tradingdays  more before 143 trading-sessions of sliding..


Roadmap for Gold

Gold continues to trade strong in accordance to its seasonality - so far. Here is its present state up against the 'roadmap' for the yellow metal based on historical research.

060219 - DAILY ROADMAP FOR GOLD

The peak for the Green mapped line is 21 calendardays way (Feb. 26th).

Only time will show if this proves to be true this year, or if it only belongs to the past. Remember to always keep a preferable stop loss in place at your suited pricelevel.

INSTA PICKS

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I N T R A D A Y . S E

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