trading ranges - high to low and low to high

RANGE  GOLD  SILVER  NASDAQ100  DAX  COFFEE  SUGAR  COCOA  WTI OIL
30 MIN. 01.45 00.03 023 027 00.70 00.07 014 00.30 
2 HRS. 03.00 00.06 041 050 01.00 00.12 029 00.50 
4 HRS 04.30 00.09 048 067 01.30 00.17 037 00.70
6 HRS 05.70 00.12 061 086 01.30 00.17 033 00.80
DAILY 12.20 00.25 136 179 02.60 00.33 074 01.80
WEEKLY 26.50 00.53 306 426 05.40 00.69 157 03.90

Intraday-price-moves for certain timeframes (showing 'volatility' or range expected). Ex: If @ 02:00 PM Gold has already moved USD 14 that day, then it's less likely to move much further that day. Within a 2 hour period for ex., expect USD 3 move for GOLD and so on. Always be happy to acheive gains equal to the specified time-range. The table is also useful for stop-loss distances.

intraday chart and comment

Nasdaq100 & the markets

Nasdaq100 has managed to move + 15% since x-mas, but is still - 10% from the October 2018 All Time High.

Updating the present longer term chart and comparing it to how the DJIA and DAX performed in 1966 into 1967 and 1973 into 1974, - it seems that markets next fase is more likely to turn lower over the next 135 to 170 tradingdays.

090219 - nasdaq100 vs 1966-1967 and 1973-1974

The 4 Red Dots are marked by the respective periodical lows, and shows us that 'if these market-maps are guides', a first potential low for Nasdaq100 will be in about 135 tradingsessions (66-67 DJIA) from this Monday 11th of Feb.. Most similar to the present price action developing from the October 1st top, continues to be the 73-74 DJIA scenario - with a lowpoint about 147 tradingdays away, and - 30.5% lower than yesterday Friday close.

According to the market-map from 1973 - 1974, there should now be about 4-5 tradingdays  more before 143 trading-sessions of sliding..


Markets in perspective

Looking at history, reseach shows that stockmarkets could be far away from their end to current downturn. It seems that the October 01st 2018 top was spot on for now.

The graph below gives you the perspective. In February of 1966 the DJIA and DAX started trending down to bottom around the new year of 1967. In late October of 1973 DJIA and the DAX indices started the downturns ending in October of 1974.

Putting these downtrends into perspective, there are now between 154 and 189 intradays to go from present levels until markets could see their low points. These are marked with RED dots in the chart below.

By continuing to follow the DJIA path for 1973 into 1974, markets should not rule out prices - 30% lower than present levels this October of 2019 for thereby to be retested in December.  

140119 - NASDAQ100 IN PERSPECTIVE


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