trading ranges - high to low and low to high

30 MIN. 06.10 00.20 022 030 00.70 00.06 012 00.14
2 HRS. 03.00 00.06 041 050 01.00 00.12 029 00.50 
4 HRS 04.30 00.09 048 067 01.30 00.17 037 00.70
6 HRS 05.70 00.12 061 086 01.30 00.17 033 00.80
DAILY 12.20 00.25 136 179 02.60 00.33 074 01.80
WEEKLY 26.50 00.53 306 426 05.40 00.69 157 03.90

30 min row is updated as of 02. Sep .2020 Intraday-price-moves for certain timeframes (showing 'volatility' or range expected). Ex: If @ 02:00 PM Gold has already moved USD 14 that day, then it's less likely to move much further that day. Within a 2 hour period for ex., expect USD 3 move for GOLD and so on. Always be happy to acheive gains equal to the specified time-range. The table is also useful for stop-loss distances.

chart and comment

Updated pre Monday 21st of June

Gold, Silver and Coffee sections are updated now pre Monday 21st of June.

Seasonal low in Metals

The seasonal chart below compares the price development for Gold, Silver and Platinum in US dollars in 2021 against earlier years. The chart is freshly updated since the last post 7th of June.

As you see, there is now + - 11 calendar days to the historical seasonal low for metals. Looking to technical indicators, there are no strong factors in place for a turn up yet. There was a weak close yesterday in conjunction to the latest US Federal Reserve press release. It is certainly interesting to follow how the prices develop going into the latter stage of next week. 


From time to time, partners and associates of do keep positions in Gold, Silver and Platinum. The pic above, is only an historical guide to how prices have evolved throughout the year in the past, and is not intended as any type of financial advice. See our disclamer.


As June is gradually becoming real summer in Europe, prepear for a potentially very strong move in Metals to arrive soon.

This seasonal chart shows how 2021 is evolving VS the yearly historical performance of the metals (Gold, Silver and Platinum). As you see, + - the 27th of June is a time turning point for the precious metals. The stronger period normally lasts into the fall, normally lasting about 74 calendar days. The waiting game has started in the PM sector. Remember that a seasonal move do happen to move counter trend wise, meaning a low (high) could act as a high (low). Therefore, keep always a proper stop loss in place.

070621 - metal seasonality

From time to time, partners and associates of do keep positions in Gold, Silver and Platinum. The pic above, is only an historical guide to how prices have evolved throughout the year in the past, and is not intended as any type of financial advice. See our disclamer.


GOLD DAY BY DAY (last 5 yrs)

Here you got the daily performance of the Goldprice day by day accumulated for the last 5 years: 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020.

310521 - GOLD DAY BY DAY


Gold at close Wednesday 260521

Goldprice is clearly strong these days, but stalling at the 1.900-level for now. The MACD-level has been strong the last USD 200 and could easily deserve a pause.

Seasonality for Gold points to a lowpoint around the turn of this month. A slide in the price of Gold could be seen by many as a buying oppertunity for the summer to be held into September. 


Gold going into the weekend

Gold could very well look toppish in the shorter time-frame.

Here are three charts of the daily price of Gold in USD.

The first one is after close yesterday, Thursday 20.05.21, and the other two are potential outcomes if it close at 1.860, or at 1.895 today Friday 21.0521.

This is all about getting your  picture clear ofr what Gold could look like heading into next week.

210521 - XAU AS OF CLOSE THURSDAY 200521

210521 - XAU IF CLOSE @ 1860 FRIDAY 210521

210521 - XAU IF CLOSE @ 1895 FRIDAY 210521

As you see, there is a great difference between the two outcomes for Friday. If Gold markets close around 1.860 or below, it will look bearish or halting to the price going into next week.

On the other hand, if it closes Friday around 1.890 or above, it could seem that an extreme strenght is coming into play. The extreme is taken from the MACD indicator in Blue / Red, in which gives the divergence between the 26 and 12 period moving averages. The greater the gap between the two moving averages, the more strength there is in the MACD and the higher the reading. nPresent state of the MACD reading is USD 24.7, and it has been trending steadily up since 08.03.21 where it turned around from - 31.9.

Looking to the seasonal for Gold, the metal meets its seasonal low at the end of May. A time-period in which Gold historically see a low price point.

Gold, Silver, Nasdaq100 and DAX

Comments and charts are updated as of today 02. of May 2021 under Silver, Gold, Nasdaq100 and DAX.

The importance of time

Seldom you read or hear about how a certain intraday of the week could be more important to watch and trade than another.

Looking at this table below, you quickly see that some days are so called up-days and some days are down-days. Revealing the numbers behind the colors will probably shock you! There are extreme differences to the performance of certain intradays.

2019 DAILY

So far in 2019, if you are long the Nasdaq100 index going into Thursdays, you are most likely to see the index fall significantly through that day. The very same is true for metals, where Thursdays are clearly the worst performing day of the week for both the Gold and the Silver.

If you would like to see the actual numbers behind the Reds and the Blues, simply send an email to and the answers will be received for free.

Happy trading week, and make sure to stay up to date by following at Instragram with the address

Commodities - 5.3%

Commodities are weakening and now trading below the February 2nd lows. The latest peak 15 days ago was a lower high than the one January 3rd..

For 2019, Gold Silver Coffee Sugar and Cocoa are collectively - 5.3%. Since Nasdaq100 peaked for an all-time-high 159 days ago above 7.600 October 1st. 2018, the commodity index (below) is + 9.6%.


As for now, commodities are trending lower (in the shorter term) until markets see renewed strength to the red line above.

Make sure you stay up to date with all our posts, go to Instagram and look up the profile (type in

Happy Trading!

Gold on track

The Goldprice is holding up with its roadmap from earlier years. In order to continue on this path, markets needs to keep off / stay above last weeks low @ 1.306.


The upcoming seasonal top finds place next Monday February 25th plus minus one tradingday. Only time will show if this proves correct this time around.

At the same time, it is interesting to take a look at the price of Platinum to Gold. The rear metal has continued to see weakness and the relative strength to Gold is actually - 15.6% since November 8th. At that time, gold traded at 1.223,5.

Since 1970, Platinum is currently seeing a value which is - 56% lower than its average relative price to Gold. A ratio this low has never been observed during the analyzed period. This is telling us that Platinum may be dirt cheap at current levels from an historial perspective. 


The Red solid line in the graph above, is a 50 day moving average which is now + 3.9% above the closing this passed Friday.

If or rather when markets see Platinum to Gold above this Red solid line, it could be a first and clearer sign that the price of Platinum could be entering a period where it will outperform Gold, or that markets wish to prefer having Platinum over Gold.

To put preent state into perspective - Gold is now trading USD 97.5 above its November price, and Platinum is trading USD 63,5 lower than its November price.

Only time will show when markets wants this equilibrium to level out..


Roadmap for Gold

Gold continues to trade strong in accordance to its seasonality - so far. Here is its present state up against the 'roadmap' for the yellow metal based on historical research.


The peak for the Green mapped line is 21 calendardays way (Feb. 26th).

Only time will show if this proves to be true this year, or if it only belongs to the past. Remember to always keep a preferable stop loss in place at your suited pricelevel.


Research shows that the Goldprice tends to trade higher through the last two days of the month into the first two days of the next month. This 4-days trading period sees higher Gold in 4 out of the last 6 'turn of the month' cases.


Summing all last six four days periods makes up + 1.3%.

Remeber that what happened in the passed is not equal to what will happen in the future... but these are interesting observations in conjuction to what really happens when a trading month comes to an end, to start another.

Trading ranges

030119 - tradingrange table percent

Its moving up, its moving down, but how much is it actually moving within a certain timeframe?

Trading ranges are important because they tell you how much your trade or investment may move within a certain timeframe. Many traders use trading ranges as an effecient parameter to place stop loss - and take profit orders.

The table above shows how much Euro to USD, Gold- and Silver prices, the Dax index, Platinum, the Nasdaq100 index, Sugar-, Coffee-, Cocoa-, and Oil prices and Bitcoin moves within set timeframes. The currency pair Euro to USD, Gold- and Silver prices moves the least, as Sugar, Coffee, Cocoa, Oilprices and Bitcoin makes the most and solid price moves.

The table shows the average trading range of the last 1.000 bars for its timewindow.'1 DAY and 1 WEEK' shows the daily and weekly trading ranges for 2018.

30 MIN more than 0.5%: Sugar, Coffee, Cocoa, WTI Oil and Bitcoin.

2 HRS more than 1%: Coffee, Cocoa, WTI Oil and Bitcoin.

4 HRS more than 1.5%: Cocoa and Bitcoin.

6 HRS more than 2%: Bitcoin.

1 DAY more than 2%: Nasdaq100 index, Sugar, Coffee, Cocoa, WTI Oil and Bitcoin.

1 WEEK more than 5%: Sugar, Coffee, Cocoa, WTI Oil and Bitcoin.


Gold pre X-mas 2019.

Status Goldprice (14:00 CET) in relation to December Fed meeting yesterday is sited below. The vertical red line is placed '2 hours after US Open tomorrow', Friday. 

The Red graph illustrates where Gold is presently trading compared to the Fed meetings in Aug., Sept., and Nov.. So far Gold is trading inverse (stronger) post the Fed meeting yesterday, compared to the events earlier this summer and fall. The chart do outline the next 4 tradingdays for Aug., Sept., and Nov..

201218 - FED GOLD

If current strength continues, it is also inverse to earlier December Fed meetings researched from 2012 - 2017 which shows weakness post December Fed meetings (see post incl. table from the 18.12.18).

December Fed & Gold next week

Next Wednesday, FOMC will hold its last Federal Reserve meeting of 2018. In conjuction to these meetings, there are larger than normal gold price fluctuations making great short term trading oppertunities. How much gold price change should be expected and in what direction?

The diagram below shows how gold tend to swing the days pre and post a December Fed meeting. Today 12.12, markets are trading day 2 in the overview, were gold has the largest intraday stretch on average from low to high or high to low (the last 6 years). It has not been less than USD 10 the last years, rather closer to USD 20.

Number 8 in the overview, is 'equvalent' to next Wednesday the 19th.


Looking at the gold price trend through a December Fed meeting, markets on average see a fading price development over the next 2 weeks. See chart below. Next Wednesday is marked in yellow. The last years, gold has struggled to find buyingpower through these December meetings, as stockmarkets have been strong. But who knows, maybe it is all different this year..  





Dax and Gold for Tuesday 111218.

There are two routes put out for tomorrow Tuesday 11.12.18.

The first one is an analysis of Gold. The yellow metal do trade quite strongly during parts of Tuesday since this passed summer.


Gold's three interesting timewindows to look out for tomorrow Tuesday, is just after midnight (all times displayed are set for CET / GMT + 1 HR.). The second timewindow is around 14:30 when the US Producer Price Index numbers are released. And the third window approx one hour before US trading session close. 

The Dax Future index map below shows a strong trending european stock market session for tomorrow Tuesday. The route suggests a down, but maps could be inverse.


Remember that these maps are created based on researched intraday data, and may differ totally from what actually will happen in the markets. The timewindows could pinpoint market turns of interest or signal support or resistance to prices as they develop. You never know until tomorrow is history.

Always keep a preferred stop loss in place for all positions, and be aware of the daily ranges.

On top of this page you will see how much certain instruments move within its certain timeframe.


...And below - the actual traded Gold market and DAX Future for this Tuesday:

131218 - GOLD ACTUAL TUESDAY 111218

When it comes to the Gold development for Tuesday (see actual traded chart above), the map outlined to buy at about 00:10 CET for then to sell out the position at 14:30 CET. At 14:30 CET, a short position is entered and then covered around 20:50 CET. The range (low to high, or high to low) this intraday was USD 7. Following the map took home the profit of + USD 6.9, using only stop loss of USD 2 a trade. Tight, but enough to not be stopped out.

Below is the Dax Future to be compared to its map (further up in this post).


The Dax Future suggested a strong trending map for Tuesday, and a potentially inverse one. This turned out to be the case.

So -  If believing in an inverse actual traded intraday, trading starts off 09:20 CET as a long position to be sold out around 16:10 CET, for then to switch to a short position to be covered 17:30 CET. This scenario made + 205 points with a 30 points stop loss. 

If the sited map was 100% followed, the stop loss would have determined the profit / loss case for the intraday. When entering a short position 09:20 CET, a stop loss of 30 points would have been hit within an hour. At that time or later in the day, a thought is to see the next upcoming timewindow as a high rather than a low for thereby to go short again. A short trade 16:10 CET to be covered 17:30 was highly profitable (+ 45 points). When adding this to the first loosing trade, this Tuesday turned out + 15 points. 

GOLD 14:20-15:20

At times, Gold can make explosive moves as yesterday, when the Fed Chairman held a speech.

Fast forward to 0:32:30 minutes to hear the speech.


The markets knew in advance about the upcoming Powell's speech and Gold traded in a tight range in the hours leading up to the event: Then - a way to play this 'potential' explosive move, could be to place 'a stop buy order' at 1.215 one hour into the US trading session and simultaneously place 'a stop loss order' just below the 15:20 CET low or by 1/2 the daily range of USD 12,5. After the excecution of the 'stop buy order', the stop loss could have been trailed to entry at 1.215 or higher. Alternatively, sold out after X USD.

A larger one minute chart with highs and lows showing the FED Gold behaviour from 2 hours pre speech to 3 hours post the speech is at this link. Times are CET.: "A top 22 minutes before the speech, thereby an explosive move to the upside without looking back. Immediate buyingpower. The strong buying lasts only 11 minutes, for there to sell off for 33 minutes. Buying comes in again lasting 29 minutes, for then to fade off over the next 56 minutes".

Here is tick by tick of how Gold vs Silver vs Nasdaq100 index moved parts of this intraday.


All 3 strong, but Gold most reluctant, Silver more explosive, Nasdaq100 steady strong buying. 

Speaking of moves in the Gold market, 15:20 CET is an interesting timewindow. It is just ahead of the US Open, but also the time where short trades from 14:20 CET could be exited:

Throughout the tradingweek, research proves that the Gold market favours traders to stay short from 14:20 - 15:20 CET.


The last few weeks has changed these tradingpatterns slightly, and Wednesday has gone from showing a positive hour to a negative hour. All 5 tradingdays of the week are presently in a negative territory this one trading hour. See last post here.

The wild 'FED chart' above is a great example of how quickly markets may change.

Remember to always keep a preferable stop loss in place. No matter the direction of the trade. Passed performance does not equal future performance. 

For questions or comments email any time

Gold's new calendar?

Gold June to June.

The yearly calendar starts January 1st and ends December 31st.

Below is Gold's development set into a different perspective. The chart shows the average two year period (in Blue) from June 2001 to June 2016 up against the latest running 2 year period (in Red) from June 2017 - June 2019.

Gold markets are presently trading in a seaonally strong period until late February of 2019. Looking at the chart, there is + 6% (to 1.294) from todays price level 1.221 to the average seasonal high.   


The Blue graph seems to show limited downside from here, but there are plenty of examples were seasonalities or predictions fails or act inverse. Make sure to always keep a preferred stop loss in place for all trades, long or short. 


The Goldprice shows strong Fridays. 

Below is an intraday chart siting the one hour old Friday and the upcoming Monday.


There seems to be two important timewindows to keep in mind for the two tradingdays:

About 12:10 CET Friday, and about 18:10 CET Monday.


Remember to always keep a preferred stop loss in place for all trades and remember the daily range for it to be placed accordingly.

Gold shorter term

The Goldprice attempted again to trade up through resistance today, and instead retraced and turned south towards yesterday's and the overnight low.

This 10 minute line chart below tells where the Goldprice presently stands:


Technically, there could be three important price levels to watch shortly. If Gold trades up above 1.235 soon, there is quickly room to move towards the 1.300 level in the fastlane.

Any trading below the 1.224 level could trigger selling towards last week low @ the 1.212 area.

Looking at the red indicator - as long as trading is done below the red line, it favours the shortside. Trading above the red line favours longs. Gold needs to trade out of choppyness to start trending again.



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