trading ranges - high to low and low to high

30 MIN. 06.10 00.20 022 030 00.70 00.06 012 00.14
2 HRS. 03.00 00.06 041 050 01.00 00.12 029 00.50 
4 HRS 04.30 00.09 048 067 01.30 00.17 037 00.70
6 HRS 05.70 00.12 061 086 01.30 00.17 033 00.80
DAILY 12.20 00.25 136 179 02.60 00.33 074 01.80
WEEKLY 26.50 00.53 306 426 05.40 00.69 157 03.90

30 min row is updated as of 02. Sep .2020 Intraday-price-moves for certain timeframes (showing 'volatility' or range expected). Ex: If @ 02:00 PM Gold has already moved USD 14 that day, then it's less likely to move much further that day. Within a 2 hour period for ex., expect USD 3 move for GOLD and so on. Always be happy to acheive gains equal to the specified time-range. The table is also useful for stop-loss distances.

chart and comment

1973-1974 vs 2018-2019.

An interesting observation about 1973 into 1974.

If present market status is to be compared to 1973 - 1974, there are interesting observations for the next year, see chart below. The red line shows where the Nasdaq100 index stands today, and the dark line shows the development for the Dow Jones Industrial Average:

DJIA 1973 VS NQ100 2018

- The Nasdaq100 index will see a broader consolidation fase (or stay relatively unchanged) from present levels until the second week of June of 2019.

But - over the coming 55 tradingdays, markets will see an upturn of + 9.5%, and thereby slide -34% over 143 tradingdays into its first week of October of 2019.

That October 2019 low, will be retested one percent lower 45 intradays later, in early December of 2019. The periods mentioned are marked in the chart above with red dots.

Passed performance do never equal future performance. 

Nasdaq100's next fase

A few days ago, the 16th of November, this post was put out for the Nasdaq100 index.

Continuing the conversation about the Nasdaq100 development, the big question is IF the index now will continue to follow the 2007 route (see graph below), or - if it will drop straight through the floor (red support line) and outpace the 2007 into 2008 downtrend.

The two red dots marked in the dark graph below shows a fall of 20% in 56 tradingdays. For the present red graph to follow this map more closely, the index should preferrably bounce in the beginning of this week, for thereby to start the real - 20% drop about Thursday the 29th of November to last 56 intradays. 

nasdaq100 now vs 2007 into 2008

Only time will show if there is some validity to this 2007 into 2008 map...

If now taking this a step further adding the 1973 and 1987 for the DJIA and 2000 and 2007 for the Nasdaq100 index, and comparing it to present levels for the Nasdaq100 index - this is what you got:


The red dots marks the low point of its respective downtrends.

Calculated from Fridays close, you will find that the DJIA development in 1973 is 2.7% lower in 36 tradingdays. The DJIA in 1987 is 21% lower in 34 tradingdays. The year 2000 for the Nasdaq100 index equals 10% lower in 4 days, and the Nasdaq100 in 2007 is 20% lower in 56 intradays.

Gold's new calendar?

Gold June to June.

The yearly calendar starts January 1st and ends December 31st.

Below is Gold's development set into a different perspective. The chart shows the average two year period (in Blue) from June 2001 to June 2016 up against the latest running 2 year period (in Red) from June 2017 - June 2019.

Gold markets are presently trading in a seaonally strong period until late February of 2019. Looking at the chart, there is + 6% (to 1.294) from todays price level 1.221 to the average seasonal high.   


The Blue graph seems to show limited downside from here, but there are plenty of examples were seasonalities or predictions fails or act inverse. Make sure to always keep a preferred stop loss in place for all trades, long or short. 

Nasdaq100 - strong Tuesday

The Nasdaq100 Future index has proved to show strong Tuesdays since this summer. This is the strongest intraday of the entire week. Wednesday is the weakest.

Below is a map sited for the next two intradays after analysing marketdata. Looking at past performance for tomorrow and Wednesday, markets could start buying into a rebound rally lasting from about 14:40 CET Tuesday into the US open Wednesday 15:40 CET.


Remember to always keep a preferred stop loss in place, and remember the average daily range for the index (not to be stopped out at the 'wrong' level).

Timewindows may be a time of the day where prices make solid turnarounds, pause or accellerate an already existing trend. The picture may also act inverse to what you see (a low could be a high and high could be a low). By entering or exiting around a dedicated timewindow you may acheive a more optimal price, by foreseeing a potential support and resistance level.

Here is a large image of the Nasdaq100 Future index above

Nasdaq100 - 20% soon?

Will Nasdaq100 soon drop 20%?

From the recent market peak October 1st, we have compared the Nasdaq100 index to marketmoves in 2007, 2000 and 1987.

If you are taking a closer look at the Nasdaq100 index peak for 2007 trading into 2008, you see high correlations to the present market situation. See chart below.


If this 2007 chart above is a roadmap going forward - a drop of 20% in 56 tradingdays is within reach for the Nasdaq100 index shortly:

Transferring the 2007 points to the present situation, the first red dot would now be placed on next next Tuesday the 29th of November. A second red dot will be placed 56 tradingdays later and turn out to be about 15th of January 2019.

The red hoisontal lines are set to show the importance to the supportlevel from 29th of october this year duplicated from the 2007 supportlevel. A daily close below this area is quickly a confirmation of weakness.

Only time will show is this route is the present correct map into 2019.


SILVER NOW VS 2007 & 1987

Silver's next phase + 47% or - 11%?

The white metal looks to face an interesting trading period over the next 3 months. Historically, the seasonal trend may be strong from now on out through February. So, could Silver manage to go against the current stockmarket trend going forward? 

The Silver chart below (a period in 2007 into 2008), shows a strong uptrend for Silver gaining 47% where Nasdaq100 fell 22%. Looking at the red line (where XAG is now), you find that Silver could be turning up as soon as within this week (if 2007 is some sort of map). 


On the other hand, in 1987 into 1988 the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 31% over this very same period (peak + about 100 tradingdays).

At that time, Silver did not manage to stay against the stockmarket and traded down 11%. The Silverchart below outlines the Silverprice in 1987 vs today. The "22 more intradays" circle is sited from yesterday's close.   


Only time will show if 2007 or 1987 really is comparable. 

NASDAQ100's downtrend continues

Nasdaq100 could fall further before next bounce.

The Nasdaq100 index bounced off its lows at the turn of the month, and now looks to possibly continue its weakness (vs the 2007, 2000 and 1987 peaks), after consolidating the first real move down from its recent all time high October 1st. The index future is down 10.9%.

If the 2007, 2000, and 1987 peaks are still comparable to present price development, current weakness should bring the market(s) quite a bit lower within at least the next 9 trading sessions. Thereafter, the index should consolidate the move for a while.

See chart below.


Gold short term 10.11.18

Gold was trading to the weak side the latter part of this week after having tested the 1.235 resistance level several times, but without follow-through. Gold is down USD 23, two times a daily range or - 1.9% from last Friday's close.

The red indicator in the chart below as a moving average, is a lagging one but could effectively benefit traders showing strength confirmation to price movements. This exponential moving average (EMA) gives more weight to the latest price data and thereby reacting faster to momentum.

Looking into next week, the mapped intraday chart (see yesterday’s post), does not show an important timewindow until about 18:10 CET. This map is based on historical intraday data, and will be interesting to see how it matches up with the red EMA indicator in the 10 minute chart below.

Gold should anyhow, and soon trade back above its red line (and stay there) to proof any renewed strength. The red line stands at 1.212 as of yesterday’s close.


Remember to always keep a preferred stop loss in place, and the Gold's daily range. Here are golden rules.



Dax Future index shows plenty of room to move the rest of the day.

According to the intraday map below, the first upcoming timewindow around 11:30 CET could give direction to around 14:50 CET for then to switch direction until 17:50 CET.



The Goldprice shows strong Fridays. 

Below is an intraday chart siting the one hour old Friday and the upcoming Monday.


There seems to be two important timewindows to keep in mind for the two tradingdays:

About 12:10 CET Friday, and about 18:10 CET Monday.


Remember to always keep a preferred stop loss in place for all trades and remember the daily range for it to be placed accordingly.

Gold shorter term

The Goldprice attempted again to trade up through resistance today, and instead retraced and turned south towards yesterday's and the overnight low.

This 10 minute line chart below tells where the Goldprice presently stands:


Technically, there could be three important price levels to watch shortly. If Gold trades up above 1.235 soon, there is quickly room to move towards the 1.300 level in the fastlane.

Any trading below the 1.224 level could trigger selling towards last week low @ the 1.212 area.

Looking at the red indicator - as long as trading is done below the red line, it favours the shortside. Trading above the red line favours longs. Gold needs to trade out of choppyness to start trending again.

Goldprice before US open

Gold favours shorts..

In the search of consistent trading patterns for the Gold price intraday, there are interesting observation from 14:20 – 15:20 CET (since July to present):

Thursday is the preferred day to go short gold from 14:20 – 15:20 CET. Wednesday is the day to stay Long, but from 14:00 CET, and to close the position at 15:00 CET.

Monday, Tuesday and Friday also favours short positions from 14:20 – 15:20 CET as pointed out below. Here are the distributions of favourable outcomes.

22% 21.8% 10.8% 25.6% 19.9%


These intraday patterns seems to be persistant regardless of the entire intraday priceaction from open to close, and regardless of 'longer trends'.GOLD INTRADAY TRADES 14 - 15

Always make sure to keep a relevant stop loss in place to limit losses, always remeber a daily range of an instrument, and always expect the unexpected!  

Nasdaq100 Mond 05. & Tuesd 06. Nov.

The Nasdaq100 Future tends to trade stronger through parts of the European session on Mondays (the last couple of months). The index then drifts lower towards the close of the US stockmarket session.

Monday has been the second weakest day of the week lately (after Wednesdays). Below is an intraday chart mapping Monday and Tuesday's potential developments.

Nasdaq100 Future mapped for Monday and Tuesday

Tuesday is trading weak until European afternoon, for then to trend smoothly throughout the US stockmarket hours. Tuesday shows to be the strongest day of the week lately, and negative sessions are few and only marginally into minus territory.

Designated timewindows are set to optimize entry and exit levels for positions. Remember that a timewindow could be where prices turns around, but it can also be where prices pause for then to continue or an already existing major or minor trend. When invested, always keep a preferred stop loss in place to limit losses. 

Times are CET.


...and here is the actual intradays traded:


All four mapped timewindows proved to act as significant timezones / timewindows for the two actual tradingdays (Support to price, pause or resistance to price).

OMX 30 index Mond 05. Nov

Based on researched data of the Swedish OMX30 index for Monday 05. November, this is what an intraday map could look like.


The last couple of months favours the short side for Mondays. If this trend is to continue, looking at the graph above, the high of the day could turn out to occur from at least just after lunch to run into the close.

Remember to always keep a preferred stop loss in place.


Goldprice Friday - Monday

Goldprice proves to trade to the upside the latest Fridays.

Here is a map outlined for tomorrows Friday intraday, and upcoming Monday the 5th of November.


The chart points to a major intraday turnaround 17:00 CET Friday. If this timewindow is a top or a low is way too early to tell. But as of today Thursday, metals are strong - so if it persists, it could look pause / consolidate just before dinner time Friday, and then to look for support again Monday afternoon.

Only time will show if some of the timewindows above do transfer to actual trading patterns.

Remember to always keep a preferable stop loss in place no matter what direction is traded. If you are to pick up a trade at a certain time window you should be willing to give the position a stop loss enough room to play within at least the average daily range.

Nasdaq100 into November

The question is if the turn of the month for August, September and October could tell anything about the coming trading patterns for the 1st and 2nd tradingdays in November?

Today's 10 minute bar chart has put these three months into one graph for the Nasdaq100 Future index.

Displayed below are the intradays patterns for the first and second days of the last 3 months.


Looking toward to todays and tomorrows trading sessions, the chart above shows that a timewindow could be seen around 16:30 CET Thursday, for then to trend until 15:50 CET on Friday.

Only time will show if this 'beginning of the month map' is a relevant tradingroute for this Nov 1st and Nov 2nd.

On the other hand, a different chart is mapped below. This is an ordinary intraday analysis for Thursday and Friday this week. Compared to the 'beginning of the month map', this intraday chart below, actually signals turningpoints for silmilar timewindows. First, Thursday around 4 PM CET, then Friday around 15:15 CET.


Only time will show if these charts are any 'good' trading maps for today and tomorrow.


Markets tops as of Tuesday 30th Oct.

Nasdaq100 continues its weakness from Oct 1st, and is now down 11.2% since the recent peak. The table below shows how the present trading-level unfolds compared to the 2007 and 2000 peaks.


Markets are now 21 intradays post its very Nasdaq100 top. This table outlines performance through next Friday (29 tradingdays post its respective daily peaks). The table overview could now paint a consolidation fase over the coming 9 intradays for the index, and somewhat stronger Silver prices going into next Friday.

This next chart shows the development for both Nasdaq100 index and price of Silver for 46 intradays post the 2000, 2007 and 2018 peaks.

NASDAQ100 TOPS VS SILVER 2000 2007 2018

This last chart compares 1987 for DJIA vs Nasdaq100 in 2000, 2007 and 2018.


The red vertical line is placed at November 14th 2018, and the chart displays 100 tradingdays post respective peaks. Only time will show if history is a trading map.

Nasdaq100 Tuesday 30th / Wednesday 31st.

Markets are getting closer to a new tradingmonth, and the upcoming last two intradays of October may be volatile. A map for tomorrow's and Wednesday's intradays are presented in a chart below. Only the time will show if there is reliability to the patterns and timewindows outlined. All timewindows are CET.


A lager and clearer image can be viewed here

The last months shows Tuesday to be the strongest intraday of the week, and Wednesday the aboslutely weakest.


...and below is the actual intraday development for Tuesday and Wednesday.

Nasdaq100 Future Actual Tues 30th and Wedn 31st Oct 

The 05:30 timewindow highlighted in red shows the importance of time to change in course of price. The map outlined on Monday for Tuesday and Wednesday showed 05:30 as a 'high', and the actual market viewed this as a 'low' (for thereby explode to the upside). In other words a total inverse relationship.

The actual Nasdaq100 Future chart does in this case behave inverse in relation to the map. This gives an example of how important a timewindow could be. Remember to always keep a preferable stop loss in place to limit potential trading losses.

Sweden OMX index for Tuesday 30th.

An intraday chart for tomorrow Tuesday of the Swedish OMX 30 index is mapped out below.


This chart is created from analysed intraday data spesified for the upcoming day.

A turnaround during lunch hours (CET) could be in the terrain, but be aware that a timewindow could pause an already existing trend and even make it accelerate. A preferred stop loss needs to be in place at all times.

...and below is the actual intraday Tuesday 30th.


DAX mapped Tuesday 30. Oct.

The Dax Future has been trending strongly down since late september, and the last 5 weeks have seen as much as close to a 1.100 points drop. The interesting aspect of this, is that - over 70% of this greater move come out of Wednesdays! Summing up the Tuesdays, it is the single positive intraday of the week. So looking back, Tuesday has been a day of consolidation before the index has turned lower.

Below is the researched and mapped Dax Future chart for tomorrow Tuesday. One bar represents 10 minutes of trading.


The timewindow to be aware could definantly be 11:30 CET. Remember that this is the second to last day of the month and great fluctuations may occur. Always keep a preferred stop loss in place.

Looking back at the last two intradays called 'second to last intraday of the month', below is how the markets behaved for the DAX Future.

Dax second to last day of the month

The timewindows in Bold (11:30 and apprx. 22:00), are also the timewindows sited for tomorrows mapped intraday chart. The picture paints potential rising hours from 11:30 towards US session close @ 22:00 (CET).

 ...and below is the actual traded chart for this Tuesday 30th. of October.

Dax Future Tuesday 30th of Oct actual

The graph do show weakness from the European open into lunch hour, and strenght in the afternon - as the map explained. The actual picture showed rising hours from 11:30 towards US session close as the map initiated. Times are CET.



I N T R A D A Y . S E




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