trading ranges - high to low or low to high

RANGE  GOLD  SILVER  NASDAQ100  DAX  COFFEE  SUGAR  COCOA  WTI OIL
30 MIN. 01.45 00.03 023 027 00.70 00.07 014 00.30 
2 HRS. 03.00 00.06 041 050 01.00 00.12 029 00.50 
4 HRS 04.30 00.09 048 067 01.30 00.17 037 00.70
6 HRS 05.70 00.12 061 086 01.30 00.17 033 00.80
DAILY 12.20 00.25 136 179 02.60 00.33 074 01.80
WEEKLY 26.50 00.53 306 426 05.40 00.69 157 03.90

Intraday-price-moves for dedicated timeframes (showing the 'volatility' expected). Ex: If @ 02:00 PM Gold has already moved USD 14 for the day, then it is less likely Gold will stretch much further that day. Within a 2 hour period for ex., do expect a USD 3 move for GOLD and so on. Be happy to acheive intraday gains equal to a specified range. Numbers also to be used towards stop loss ranges.

intraday chart and comment

Silver vs Nasdaq100 Thursday

Silver vs Nasdaq100 below. Continued from yesterday - see yesterday for table explained.

nasdaq100silvertabletop

Today is intraday number 8 from present Nasdaq100 top.

Yesterday saw a major fall for the Nasdaq100 index relative to the 2007 topping formation.

If 2007 is a route, the index may fall another 2% today, only to recover somewhat tomorrow to go sideways next week.  The year 2000 route shows stength today and tomorrow, and then trending down significantly next week. The table shows Silver to outperform this next period.

The chart below gives you present state.

nasdaq100topvssilver


SILVER vs NASDAQ100 TOPs

How is Silver holding up at stockmarket tops? Does the price of silver fall in tandem with Nasdaq100 index?

The chart displays the development of Nasdaq100 vs the price of Silver in conjunction to the 2000 top, the 2007 top, and present market conditions.

NASDAQ100VSSILVER

As the chart above shows, the price of silver does hold up quite well compared to Nasdaq100 when the index tops in 2000 and 2007 (and so far in October). The graph shows data for 20 tradingdays pre its respective tops, and 35 tradingdays post its tops.

SILVERVSNASDAQ100TOPS

The table above shows you how Silver vs Nasdaq100 developes post its major 2000 and 2007 peaks vs now.

Yesterday, Nasdaq100 was down 3.8% from the present top 7 tradingdays ago. Silver in comparison is down 1.3%. See table.

For the upcoming 8 tradingdays, the table could give some clearance to the potentially further price developments in Silver vs Nasdaq100 in retrorespect to earlier market peaks.

The table concludes, that Silver does hold up much better than Nasdaq100 for the two earlier stockmarket peaking periods. If similar patterns emerge now, markets should prefer holding Silver rather than Nasdaq100 going forward. 


NASDAQ100 TOPs

Today Wednesday is the 8th intraday since the Nasdaq100 (temp.) top.

Below is a table showing how the present terrain for the Nasdaq100 index now evolves compared to the 2000 and 2007 tops.

nasdaq100topdays

The table shows the development from the very intraday top in 2000 and 2007 compared to todays trading envionment. It is impossible to know if it turns out somewhat true...

If the number is BLUE, it marks stronger trading than the day before.

If the number is RED, it marks weaker trading than the day before.

The 2000 market top shows strong trading today, tomorrow and this Friday.

The 2007 market top shows weak trading today and tomorrow, and somewhat stronger this coming Friday.

Next trading week is weak for 2007 and extremely weak for 2000. Only time will show if any of these years are maps for our present trading.

 

 


NASDAQ100 NOW VS 2000 2007

Nasdaq100 index now compared to its topping development in 2000 and 2007.

NASDAQ100TOP

Regardsless of how you look at it - this should be an interresting chart if you are into the markets in any way. The RED line shows where the Nasdaq100 index is trading right now indexed to the year 2000 top and the 2007 top.

The chart shows you the index performance 20 tradingdays pre the daily topaction, and 55 days post the daily top action. Looking at the 2007 top, the index trades sideways from todays levels for about 35 more tradingdays and then head further south. The 2000 development shows us a steep decline within the next few trading sessions, and thereby see more choppy to downtrending intradays.


Best & Worst days Nasdaq100

Looking at the Nasdaq100 Future index intraday for the entire week the last weeks, you now see that Thursday is the strongest and the best intraday for Longs, and Friday is the weakest day and best intraday for Shorts. Analysis consists of intraday data from daily Opens through its Closees.

The intraday Thursday long positions should be exited just after the US Open at about 15:40, and the Fridays shorts should be held until session close.

Wednesdays seems to be a steady down day, and positions may well be kept from the Open to its close.

For further info about the research, email intraday@intraday.no 

 


NASDAQ100 WEDNESDAYS

NASDAQ100INTRADAYWEDNESDAYS

Nasdaq100 Future intraday for the last 5 Wednesdays. Maybe this chart can show you some directions for today? What we know is that there has been very little movement until the US open. From there it trends stronger in the ongoing direction and basically quit around European closing time. Chart displays GMT + 1 HR.

 


NASDAQ100 ON MONDAYS

NASDAQ100LAST5MONDAYS

Last Mondays for the Nasdaq100 Future dispayed above. Time windows are GMT + 1HR.


NASDAQ100 WEEK 36

NASDAQ100WEEK36

Nasdaq100 Future intraday displayed for the last 5 tradingsessions, week 36. Time windows are GMT + 1 HR.


NASDAQ100 ON FRIDAY'S

NASDAQ100LAST4FRIDAYS

Todays chart for tomorrow (Friday), shows quotes for the Nasdaq100 Future index. The last weeks have seen weak development for the entire or the latter part of Friday's trading. As you can see, Friday sessions are quite until at least 12:00, but more from around 15:30 (US Open). Times are GMT +1 HR.


NASDAQ100 LAST 5 DAYS

NASDAQ100AVE5DAYS

The Nasdaq100 future this passed week. Highs and lows in an average graph. Most movements surrounding the US open @ 15:30 (GMT + 1 HR.).


NASDAQ100 week 32

nasdaq100 intraday ave last 5

Nasdaq100 Future intraday average development this passed week, GMT + 1 HR. Each bar represents 10 minutes and includes its Open, High, Low and Close. The red line is a 6 bars moving average to show strenght and weakness.

Below you see the opening hours for NASDAQ100 index (not future) for each day incl. Open, High, Low and Close. As you see, the Monday low was challenged on Friday to close below its opening price.

NASDAQ100 TABLE WEEK 32

 


Nasdaq100 daily volatility

NASDAQ100 DAILY VOLA %

The diagram above shows you how much the Nasdaq100 Future Index fluctuate intraday. 2018 (so far) shows a larger daily tradingrange than previous years.

In points this means 121 in 2018 compared to 79 in 2017, and 73 in 2016.


NASDAQ100 last sessions

NASDAQ1005LASTDAYS

The overview displays the Nasdaq100 Future intraday over the last 5 tradingsessions GMT + 1 HR. The vertical lines are set up to put certain times into perspective for the days.

As you can see, the last days shows very little movements until about noon. The next timingpoint of significance seems to be around 16:40, an hour and ten minutes after the US open. The US lunch time just after 20:00 also stands out where renewed strenght comes into play for the remainder of the sessions.

It is importaint to note todays set timing points not necessarly presists in the future, and that these points in time very easily may change due to different factors. Be aware that significant timing points or certain times may act as support or resistance to a pricelevel, and history shows that these pricelevels could be triggerpoints to acceleration of an already existing trend - for shorter or longer.



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