daily ranges - high to low or low to high

RANGE  GOLD  SILVER  NASDAQ100  DAX  COFFEE  SUGAR  COCOA  
  DAILY  12.50  00.25  104  150  02.75  0.35  66.5  
30 MIN. 01.45 00.03 020 026 0.70 0.07 14.0  
2 HRS. 03.00 00.06 035 47 01.00 0.12 29.0  

Intraday-price-moves for spesified timeframes (showing the 'volatility' expected). Ex: If @ 02:00 PM Gold has already moved USD 14 for the day, then it is less likely Gold will stretch much further that day. Within a 2 hour period for ex., do expect at least USD 3 move for GOLD and so on. Be happy to acheive intraday gains equal to a specified range.

intraday chart and comment

SILVER NOW VS 2007 & 1987

Silver's next phase + 47% or - 11%?

The white metal looks to face an interesting trading period over the next 3 months. Historically, the seasonal trend may be strong from now on out through February. So, could Silver manage to go against the current stockmarket trend going forward? 

The Silver chart below (a period in 2007 into 2008), shows a strong uptrend for Silver gaining 47% where Nasdaq100 fell 22%. Looking at the red line (where XAG is now), you find that Silver could be turning up as soon as within this week (if 2007 is some sort of map). 

SILVER NOV   

On the other hand, in 1987 into 1988 the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 31% over this very same period (peak + about 100 tradingdays).

At that time, Silver did not manage to stay against the stockmarket and traded down 11%. The Silverchart below outlines the Silverprice in 1987 vs today. The "22 more intradays" circle is sited from yesterday's close.   

SILVER NOW VS 1987

Only time will show if 2007 or 1987 really is comparable. 


Markets tops as of Tuesday 30th Oct.

Nasdaq100 continues its weakness from Oct 1st, and is now down 11.2% since the recent peak. The table below shows how the present trading-level unfolds compared to the 2007 and 2000 peaks.

NASDAQ100 VS XAG TABLE

Markets are now 21 intradays post its very Nasdaq100 top. This table outlines performance through next Friday (29 tradingdays post its respective daily peaks). The table overview could now paint a consolidation fase over the coming 9 intradays for the index, and somewhat stronger Silver prices going into next Friday.

This next chart shows the development for both Nasdaq100 index and price of Silver for 46 intradays post the 2000, 2007 and 2018 peaks.

NASDAQ100 TOPS VS SILVER 2000 2007 2018

This last chart compares 1987 for DJIA vs Nasdaq100 in 2000, 2007 and 2018.

MARKETS XX

The red vertical line is placed at November 14th 2018, and the chart displays 100 tradingdays post respective peaks. Only time will show if history is a trading map.


Silver Monday 29th and Tuesday 30th.

Silver found support 11th of September @ 13.95. Since October 1st, when the Nasdaq100 hit its all time high, the white metal has held up quite well. See daily chart below.

XAGDAILY

According to the daily bars, there is still room to move inside this rising wedge before a potentially explosive move..

Silver has been positive now for 35 tradingdays.

Looking to this upcoming tradingweek, the researched and mapped chart looks like this for the first two intradays Monday and Tuesday. Times sited are in CET.

MAPPED CHART FOR MOND 29TH AND TUESDAY 30TH OCT 2018 SMALL

Interestingly, The timewindow 16:40 could be clearly significant for both days! 

Remember that timewindows may be inverse for price to what you see, and it may also excellerate an already existing trend. - Do always keep a relevant stop loss in place.

A clearer and lager chart can be viewed here.

Lately, Monday is the weakest intraday of the week, and Tuesday the strongest - ahead of Thursdays..

Have a nice tradingweek : ).

 

...and below is the actual traded Silver price chart for mapping comparison:

SILVERACTUALMONDAYTUESDAY


Nasdaq100 Peaks vs Silver

This chart displays how the Nasdaq100 index and Silver performs these days - compared to the Nasdaq100 peak in 2000 and 2007. This story continues as a followup few intradays after the very top this year October 1st.

The Nasdaq100 index is presently down 10% from its peak, and looks to find a temp. bottom quite soon (if comparing the peaks of 2000 and 2007), to trade sideways before heading further south again. Markets are dynamic, and only time will show if history is 'repeatable'.

NASDAQ100 PEAK VS SILVER

Silver is holding up strong and the question is - if it could start a new uptrend withing the next 15 intraday sessions as in 2007? See chart below.

SILVER NOW VS SILVER IN 2007

 


Silver for Tuesday 23.10.18

Here is the mapped intraday Silver action for tomorrow Tuesday.

SILVER MAPPED FOR TUESDAY 231018

A major turningpoint is sited around 12:20 CEST, and then about 16:20 running into 19:30.

The chart is a 10 minute bar chart.

..and below is the actual result for the intraday traded Tuesday 23.10.18..

SILVERINTRADAY231018 

As this chart shows - There is clearly a momentum play the 23rd (Green line), which is quite similar to the researched and mapped graph (Red line). The latest LOW for the upmove this Tuesday occured approx. 4 hours eariler (08:20) than mapped (12:20). Even though - following the post set timewindows produced + results.

 

 


Silver & Nasdaq100 next week 43

Nasdaq100 peaked 14 tradingdays ago and closed yesterday (Friday) down 6.7% from its recent high. Silver holds up in comparison, and is + 0.4% over the same period. Similar to its topping developments in 2000 and 2007.

Below is a table showing the price development post the highs in 2000, 2007 and in 2018 for both Silver and Nasdaq100. Coming Monday is tradingday 15 from the recent Nasdaq100 high and this Monday shows weakness in 2000 and 2007. Silver shows a strong Monday in 2007 but a weaker 2000. Throughout the week Nasdaq100 could show some recovery.

Only time will show how week 43 in 2018 will fit into this next weeks table. 

nasdaq100vssilverweek43

 

Below is an overview of how Nasdaq100 and Silver stands today up against to the major Nasdaq100 peaks in 2000 and 2007.

 

qqq

 

Now looking at the present market situation vs a potenially state in 2007, research find that a major uptrend for Silver could start within the next 20 tradingdays. See chart below.

silvernowto2007 

This major uptrend lasted for 3 months in 2007 into 2008. If a similar situation is about to take place, this next leg up for Silver should last from mid November to mid February 2019.


Silver Friday 19.10.18

Research shows that tomorrows (Friday 19.10.18) intraday priceaction for Silver could look similar to this:

Silver Intraday Research Chart for Friday 191018

The timewindows above are illustrated in CEST times.  

A 7 hours strongly trending Silvermarket could potentially start from the turn around 09:00 to last until about 16:00. What happens through the early European morning and after normal workhours seems to be very little.

Always remeber that an inverse trending chart would be viewed oposite. Always keep a preferred stop loss in place. 

 

 

..And below is the actual outcome of this Friday.

Silver Intraday actual Friday 191018

The two main point for today were 09:00 and 16:00. This long trade (with a 0.15 stop loss) acheived an ok profit as shown through the chart. 

 


GOLD TUESDAYs

The Gold price intraday for Tuesdays is displayed below.

GOLDTUESDAYs

This chart is created based on the last Tuesdays price behaviors, and worth a look pre tomorrows priceaction for Gold.

Always remember that movements can be inverse to what you see, and that timewindows could be important for the very next move.

For ex.: - Looking at the graph above, 12:40 PM (CEST) could be a relevant timewindow to go long Gold tomorrow Tuesday, for then to be exited around 17:30. If there instead is an inverse play going on, the opposite could be praticed with a sell order at 12:40, followed by a buyback order to exit at 17:30. A preferred tight stop loss should be implimented at entry in both instances. 

 


Silver intraday week 41

XAG WEEK 41

- This is how this passed week behaved intraday for the Silver price. The white metal started and ended the week unchanged @ USD 14.63 on a potentially weekly key reveral.


Silver vs Nasdaq100 Friday

Nasdaq100 continued to fall today as Silver recover.

According to the table below (see Wednesday for explain), Nasdaq100 could recover or flatten out Friday if comparing to the 2000 and 2007 peaks.

silvervsnasdaq100fri

If the table is still some sort of map, Nasdaq100 index for next week could be flat (as in 2007) or quite downtrending (as in 2000). Only time will show.

Below is the ongoing chart comparisons updated after intraday Thursday.

nasdaq100topvsSilverxxx

 


Silver vs Nasdaq100 Thursday

Silver vs Nasdaq100 below. Continued from yesterday - see yesterday for table explained.

nasdaq100silvertabletop

Today is intraday number 8 from present Nasdaq100 top.

Yesterday saw a major fall for the Nasdaq100 index relative to the 2007 topping formation.

If 2007 is a route, the index may fall another 2% today, only to recover somewhat tomorrow to go sideways next week.  The year 2000 route shows stength today and tomorrow, and then trending down significantly next week. The table shows Silver to outperform this next period.

The chart below gives you present state.

nasdaq100topvssilver


SILVER vs NASDAQ100 TOPs

How is Silver holding up at stockmarket tops? Does the price of silver fall in tandem with Nasdaq100 index?

The chart displays the development of Nasdaq100 vs the price of Silver in conjunction to the 2000 top, the 2007 top, and present market conditions.

NASDAQ100VSSILVER

As the chart above shows, the price of silver does hold up quite well compared to Nasdaq100 when the index tops in 2000 and 2007 (and so far in October). The graph shows data for 20 tradingdays pre its respective tops, and 35 tradingdays post its tops.

SILVERVSNASDAQ100TOPS

The table above shows you how Silver vs Nasdaq100 developes post its major 2000 and 2007 peaks vs now.

Yesterday, Nasdaq100 was down 3.8% from the present top 7 tradingdays ago. Silver in comparison is down 1.3%. See table.

For the upcoming 8 tradingdays, the table could give some clearance to the potentially further price developments in Silver vs Nasdaq100 in retrorespect to earlier market peaks.

The table concludes, that Silver does hold up much better than Nasdaq100 for the two earlier stockmarket peaking periods. If similar patterns emerge now, markets should prefer holding Silver rather than Nasdaq100 going forward. 


NASDAQ100 NOW VS 2000 2007

Nasdaq100 index now compared to its topping development in 2000 and 2007.

NASDAQ100TOP

Regardsless of how you look at it - this should be an interresting chart if you are into the markets in any way. The RED line shows where the Nasdaq100 index is trading right now indexed to the year 2000 top and the 2007 top.

The chart shows you the index performance 20 tradingdays pre the daily topaction, and 55 days post the daily top action. Looking at the 2007 top, the index trades sideways from todays levels for about 35 more tradingdays and then head further south. The 2000 development shows us a steep decline within the next few trading sessions, and thereby see more choppy to downtrending intradays.


XAG WEDNESDAYS

XAGINTRADAYWEDNESDAYS

Silver intraday for Wednesdays displayed. According to the last 5 midweek tradingdays, Silver tends to move sideways until European afternoon time, and then react sharply from about 14:20 to 17:30 (GMT + 1HR.). 4 of the last 5 Wednesdays have closed higher.


SILVER TUESDAYS

SILVERTUESDAYS

- Interrested in how the price of silver could move tomorrow? Take a look at this. Here is a silver price map for Tuesdays..The chart outlines 5 Tuesdays from August and September into one graph.


SILVER TUESDAYS

XAGINTRADAYTUESDAYS

Silver behavior on defined Tuesdays displayed through the chart.


SILVER UPDATE TUESDAY

XAGLAST5TRADINGDAYS

Silver intraday trading last 5 sessions where open to close is basically flat. Major moves from 04:10 at night to 10:20, thereby selling into 16:20. Times are GMT + 1hr.


GOLD FRIDAYS

XAUONFRIDAYS

This is how Gold has been trading intraday the last 4 Fridays (ex. today..). Tomorrow, we will see if it was a roadmap..


GOLD AVERAGE

XAUUSDAVEWEEK36

Gold price intraday over the last 5 sessions. 1.194 and 1.203 are low - and high levels for the averages.


GOLD ON MONDAYS

XAUUSDLAST5MONDAYS

Gold price last 5 Monday's individually. XAUUSD has been trending strongly on Mondays lately. Time windows are GMT + 1 HR.



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